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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Natividad to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +68 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Loud to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +34 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Loud in Round 1 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Loud in Round 2 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Loud in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Natividad in Round 1 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Natividad in Round 2 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Natividad in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d |  Xander-XX | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyChristian Natividad>99¢ | $9,535 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 38d | NXYD | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyChristian Natividad>99¢ | $9,805 | +$39 +0.4% | 4 |
| 38d | bluemangopie | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyChristian Natividad>99¢ | $1,270 | +$5 +0.4% | 4 |
| 38d |  scootergene2 fills | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyChristian Natividad73¢ → 100¢ | $3,291 | +$1,217 +37% | 13 |
| 38d | Made-Up-Rod-Waste | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyColton Loud28¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 39d | WALLYFIGHTS | Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad | BuyChristian Natividad73¢ → 100¢ | $2,846 | +$1,052 +37% | 11 |
E33xing1,290 shares
Cooked700 sharesThis market will resolve to "Colton Loud" if Colton Loud is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Natividad at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 5, scheduled for September 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Natividad" if Christian Natividad is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Colton Loud vs. Christian Natividad means the market gives it about 0%.