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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | 100% | +55 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −54 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 100% | +78 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +69 pts | +50 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Brener to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +85 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Harrell to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brener in Round 1 | 100% | +85 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −47 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brener in Round 2 | 0% | −13 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +11 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −70 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +62 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Brener in Round 3 | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harrell in Round 1 | 0% | −14 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harrell in Round 2 | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harrell in Round 3 | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | Melodic-Behalf | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | SellElves Brener>99¢ | $1,047 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | Ayrebhaze | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | SellElves Brener>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | takeormake | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell60¢ → 0¢ | $2,435 | −$2,435 −100% | 14 |
| 20d |  GeepaP | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell57¢ → 0¢ | $2,022 | −$2,022 −100% | 14 |
| 20d |  PhoenixSuns | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyElves Brener44¢ → 100¢ | $6,811 | +$8,669 +127% | 14 |
| 20d |  matanovik | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyElves Brener44¢ → 100¢ | $9,504 | +$12,096 +127% | 14 |
| 20d | Madeira99 | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell57¢ → 0¢ | $1,417 | −$1,417 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | Shocked-Prospect | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver51¢ → 0¢ | $1,041 | −$1,041 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | Sassy-Bucket2 fills | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell56¢ → 0¢ | $45,549 | −$45,549 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | Talvez10 | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell55¢ → 0¢ | $31,484 | −$31,484 −100% | 12 |
| 20d | Neat-Brushfire | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyElves Brener46¢ → 100¢ | $8,874 | +$10,418 +117% | 12 |
| 21d |  esportsbetter1 | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyElves Brener44¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$2,544 +127% | 9 |
| 21d |  elmcap2 | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell56¢ → 0¢ | $1,891 | −$1,891 −100% | 9 |
| 21d |  nigiri99 | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyElves Brener45¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | +$1,658 +123% | 9 |
| 22d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell | BuyJosiah Harrell56¢ → 0¢ | $8,421 | −$8,421 −100% | 9 |
casualbet202018,937 shares
E33xing1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Elves Brener" if Elves Brener is officially declared the winner of the fight against Josiah Harrell at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Josiah Harrell" if Josiah Harrell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell means the market gives it about 100%.