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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | 50% | — | −22 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | −8 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | +1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | +9 pts | +8 pts | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kareckaite to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Montenegro to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | locuspm | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder50¢ | $4,526 | $0 0.0% | 9 |
| 232d |  Pestle | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyMontenegro50¢ | $14,330 | $0 0.0% | 9 |
| 233d | Raw-Poetry | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | SellKareckaite50¢ | $2,142 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 233d | ilovetennis | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | SellMontenegro49¢ → 50¢ | $5,880 | −$120 −2.0% | — |
| 233d | TwentyFPS | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | SellKareckaite50¢ | $1,597 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 234d | Bettor4747 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver51¢ → 50¢ | $4,206 | −$82 −2.0% | 6 |
| 234d | Slow-Sauce | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyKareckaite51¢ → 50¢ | $2,450 | −$48 −2.0% | 6 |
| 234d | LineChef | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | SellKareckaite50¢ | $2,960 | $0 0.0% | — |
| 234d | 43261479919713 fills | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyKareckaite51¢ → 50¢ | $29,221 | −$841 −2.9% | 6 |
| 234d |  macrosteaks | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyKareckaite52¢ → 50¢ | $1,300 | −$45 −3.5% | 6 |
| 234d | LineChef | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyKareckaite51¢ → 50¢ | $1,831 | −$36 −2.0% | 6 |
| 234d |  Painfulvoid | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyMontenegro32¢ → 50¢ | $2,560 | +$1,440 +56% | 6 |
| 234d | djaklsdjla1..02zm2 fills | Kareckaite vs. Montenegro | BuyKareckaite69¢ → 50¢ | $2,646 | −$740 −28% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sofia Montenegro at UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh, scheduled for February 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Montenegro" if Sofia Montenegro is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Kareckaite vs. Montenegro means the market gives it about 50%.