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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | 100% | +45 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +21 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −61 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ewing to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +78 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −64 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estevam to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −19 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +70 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | kevinfiederer1 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $2,118 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | usdt4321 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,203 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Aw0 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $16,265 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Horrible-Faithful | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $3,059 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | tcp2 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,229 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | 17to10k | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,193 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | lhbcrypto | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,234 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Netrol | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $4,133 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Warm-Faucet | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,114 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Momentumtrades | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $23,357 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  lockhub | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Massimo24 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $4,127 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | richhhhhh | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $3,787 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Jermaine196 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | Impolite-Interval-Constellation | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $3,242 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Judas-Priest | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $1,805 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | hollyber | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $22,679 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | VPenguin | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $163,836 | −$164 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | borntoolate.eth | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing>99¢ | $20,246 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 195d | takeormake | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing99¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 195d | hollyber2 fills | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing95¢ → 100¢ | $8,725 | +$503 +5.8% | 6 |
| 195d | Aw0 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing97¢ → 100¢ | $15,605 | +$483 +3.1% | 5 |
| 195d | aviato | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing98¢ → 100¢ | $999 | +$20 +2.0% | 5 |
| 195d | Massimo242 fills | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing91¢ → 100¢ | $3,754 | +$366 +9.7% | 7 |
| 195d | Judas-Priest | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing82¢ → 100¢ | $1,484 | +$326 +22% | 10 |
| 195d | Horrible-Faithful | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing67¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$571 +50% | 14 |
| 195d | 6yuyurrg | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing62¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$915 +61% | 14 |
| 195d | JuanitoNBA | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing52¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$929 +92% | 14 |
| 195d | JuanitoNBA | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing51¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | −$1,947 −96% | — |
| 195d | ohuhusos5 fills | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyRafael Estevam49¢ → 0¢ | $100,406 | −$100K −100% | 14 |
| 195d | fourtyvolt | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyRafael Estevam49¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | −$1,047 −100% | 14 |
| 195d |  berbisminsk | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing52¢ → 100¢ | $4,182 | +$3,860 +92% | 14 |
| 195d | POWERSLAP-EXPERT | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | SellEthyn Ewing52¢ → 100¢ | $4,971 | −$4,589 −92% | — |
| 195d | kevinfiederer1 | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing53¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$982 +89% | 14 |
| 195d | bcda2 fills | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyRafael Estevam46¢ → 0¢ | $7,131 | −$7,131 −100% | 12 |
| 195d | Momentumtrades2 fills | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing55¢ → 100¢ | $12,679 | +$10,381 +82% | 14 |
| 195d | Scaly-Packet | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyRafael Estevam46¢ → 0¢ | $1,936 | −$1,936 −100% | 12 |
| 196d | 0x2AAb3Bdf173dA | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing56¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$1,071 +79% | 9 |
| 197d | richhhhhh | Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam | BuyEthyn Ewing56¢ → 100¢ | $2,095 | +$1,646 +79% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Ethyn Ewing" if Ethyn Ewing is officially declared the winner of the fight against Rafael Estevam at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026. It will resolve to "Rafael Estevam" if Rafael Estevam is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam means the market gives it about 100%.