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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | 100% | +77 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +29 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −41 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +46 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aswell to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −37 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bolaños to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −13 pts | −42 pts | — · 17¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +27 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118d | elchaman | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | SellGaston Bolaños>99¢ | $1,086 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | urgencista | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | SellGaston Bolaños>99¢ | $2,380 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | Gripping-Endpoint-ArchitectNew account | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellOver>99¢ | $1,297 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | chao9152 | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | SellGaston Bolaños>99¢ | $1,312 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 118d | 6yuyurrg | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | SellGaston Bolaños>99¢ | $19,064 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 118d |  thebluegem | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyGaston Bolaños99¢ → 100¢ | $1,551 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 118d | schebon2 | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyGaston Bolaños90¢ → 100¢ | $4,511 | +$489 +11% | 7 |
| 118d |  Nooserac | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyGaston Bolaños43¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,432 +133% | 14 |
| 118d |  LarryDaddy | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | SellGaston Bolaños37¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$2,691 −168% | — |
| 118d | LarryDaddy | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyGaston Bolaños57¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$901 +76% | 14 |
| 118d | S-Works | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell78¢ → 0¢ | $3,590 | −$3,590 −100% | 11 |
| 118d |  47513462 fills | Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell | BuyMichael Aswell78¢ → 0¢ | $3,120 | −$3,120 −100% | 11 |
This market will resolve to "Gaston Bolaños" if Gaston Bolaños is officially declared the winner of the fight against Michael Aswell at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Michael Aswell" if Michael Aswell is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell means the market gives it about 100%.