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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | 100% | +9 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −20 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Steveson to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +34 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ellison to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −6 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +47 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +29 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | zzqq35 | Steveson to win by KO/TKO? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | Pastourmas | Steveson to win by KO/TKO? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,240 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d |  BedniyGandonioS | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | kutsumiakia | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $2,201 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 97d |  ScreamingEagle | Ellison to win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 97d | JoeytheReal | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $8,371 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | nanaes | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $3,309 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | dog9x | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $1,390 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 97d |  cat3xcat3x | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $4,483 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | tennischamp | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $5,648 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | rofl1ngman | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $3,179 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d |  gkmgkldfmg | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson>99¢ | $2,925 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 97d | sdfsf141241 | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$307 +15% | 8 |
| 97d | PeanutButterAndJelly | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$599 +12% | 8 |
| 97d | Sassy-Bucket4 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $138,083 | +$18,533 +13% | 8 |
| 97d | 0xsven2 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson89¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | +$325 +13% | 8 |
| 97d | surfandturf2 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyElisha Ellison12¢ → 0¢ | $2,386 | −$2,386 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | ThisAgain | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyElisha Ellison12¢ → 0¢ | $2,368 | −$2,368 −100% | 14 |
| 97d | Pastourmas | Steveson to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$843 +35% | 13 |
| 97d | rabbitfoot1 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder79¢ → 100¢ | $46,500 | +$12,375 +27% | 11 |
| 97d | tennischamp | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $4,975 | +$678 +14% | 8 |
| 97d | lluucckkyy3 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $56,314 | +$7,341 +13% | 8 |
| 97d | JoeytheReal | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $7,374 | +$1,006 +14% | 8 |
| 97d | dog9x | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson89¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$167 +13% | 8 |
| 97d | cat3xcat3x | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson89¢ → 100¢ | $3,981 | +$507 +13% | 8 |
| 97d | aljo1996 | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson89¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$146 +12% | 8 |
| 97d | kutsumiakia | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$147 +14% | 8 |
| 97d | rofl1ngman | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$273 +14% | 8 |
| 97d | as1dasd23 | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $5,050 | +$689 +14% | 8 |
| 97d | MeiGuNiuBi | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyElisha Ellison12¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 14 |
| 97d |  ne1ronex | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson88¢ → 100¢ | $8,238 | −$1,111 −13% | — |
| 97d |  sharpmonkey | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson90¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$137 +11% | 7 |
| 97d | Carefree-Quarter2 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson91¢ → 100¢ | $3,028 | +$317 +10% | 6 |
| 97d | nanaes | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$312 +10% | 7 |
| 97d | comon119 | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson90¢ → 100¢ | $10,228 | +$1,124 +11% | 7 |
| 97d |  sleepy-panda2 fills | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyElisha Ellison10¢ → 0¢ | $9,500 | −$9,500 −100% | 12 |
| 97d | ox1star84 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder78¢ → 100¢ | $1,560 | +$440 +28% | 10 |
| 97d | Shocked-Prospect | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | SellGable Steveson90¢ → 100¢ | $4,923 | −$539 −11% | — |
| 97d | Aserejehehe | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder77¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$429 −30% | — |
| 98d | Aserejehehe | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder78¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$303 +28% | 10 |
| 98d |  scootergene2 fills | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder79¢ → 100¢ | $16,102 | +$4,272 +27% | 7 |
| 98d | Talvez10 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver21¢ → 0¢ | $1,477 | −$1,477 −100% | 12 |
| 99d | olddirtyfighter | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson92¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$114 +8.8% | 5 |
| 100d | BejingOlympics | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson92¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$106 +8.7% | 5 |
| 102d | dv-pm | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson92¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$132 +8.6% | 5 |
| 102d |  Kosherlocks | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$103 +8.6% | 5 |
| 102d | TestMeg | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson91¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$145 +9.8% | 5 |
| 109d |  shadyoak | Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison | BuyGable Steveson91¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$118 +10% | 4 |
WarewaPain12,423 sharesThis market will resolve to "Gable Steveson" if Gable Steveson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Elisha Ellison" if Elisha Ellison is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison means the market gives it about 100%.