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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aslan vs. Baraniewski | 0% | −36 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −37 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −19 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −68 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −27 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aslan win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −43 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −15 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +32 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Baraniewski win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +46 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314d |  Cracotte | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,561 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $2,301 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | brokemaxdegen | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | SellBaraniewski>99¢ | $3,914 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Aslan win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,012 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,426 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $1,426 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 314d | 6yuyurrg | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | SellBaraniewski>99¢ | $9,496 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 314d | 6yuyurrg | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski77¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$548 +31% | 12 |
| 314d | Hilarious-ProbabilityNew account | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski63¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$952 +59% | 26 |
| 314d |  Punisher2022 | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | SellBaraniewski67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$495 −49% | — |
| 314d | Cracotte | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 14 |
| 314d | Punisher2022 | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 14 |
| 314d | 0xb7511d7b0dcb75ffad0507cbac7223653d089153 fills | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski64¢ → 100¢ | $5,993 | +$3,346 +56% | 14 |
| 314d |  UnfortunateSon | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski64¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | +$913 +56% | 14 |
| 314d | estebanxoxooo | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyAslan35¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 12 |
| 319d | brokemaxdegen | Aslan vs. Baraniewski | BuyBaraniewski64¢ → 100¢ | $2,491 | +$1,427 +57% | 6 |
xfile3,881 sharesThis market will resolve to "Aslan" if Ibo Aslan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2, scheduled for December 6, 2025. It will resolve to "Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 20, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Aslan vs. Baraniewski means the market gives it about 0%.