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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | 0% | −36 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −41 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Bonfim to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −8 pts | −41 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Sola to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −21 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −40 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +80 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −63 pts | −40 pts | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +20 pts | +41 pts | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | 0xb94c…ae33 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 84d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola>99¢ | $1,100 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 84d | Zenhack | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola>99¢ | $8,757 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | ChompChomp888 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  thegreentom | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola>99¢ | $3,765 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  thegreengem | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola>99¢ | $3,329 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 84d | MadeiraIsland | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  Zaykeezybets | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola>99¢ | $2,103 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | 0x8a2c…3c32 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | SellAxel Sola99¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 84d | thegreentom | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 84d | Zaykeezybets | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola97¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | +$55 +2.7% | 5 |
| 84d | sts22 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim37¢ → 0¢ | $1,194 | −$1,194 −100% | 12 |
| 84d |  matanovik | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim36¢ → 0¢ | $1,173 | −$1,173 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | rabbitfoot12 fills | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola65¢ → 100¢ | $40,475 | +$22,034 +54% | 12 |
| 84d |  gangdoo | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola65¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$912 +54% | 12 |
| 84d | Sassy-Bucket9 fills | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim37¢ → 0¢ | $183,474 | −$183K −100% | 12 |
| 84d | ChompChomp888 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola63¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$1,351 +59% | 12 |
| 84d | Zenhack | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola63¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | +$1,164 +59% | 12 |
| 84d | WYNNERBACC | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim38¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | −$1,647 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | comon1192 fills | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim37¢ → 0¢ | $2,775 | −$2,775 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | Dingwin | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola63¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$2,220 +59% | 12 |
| 84d | 0xda39…c640 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder47¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$4,466 +113% | 12 |
| 84d | kunkun1682 fills | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyUnder47¢ → 100¢ | $4,431 | +$4,997 +113% | 12 |
| 84d | Talvez10 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver53¢ → 0¢ | $2,136 | −$2,136 −100% | 12 |
| 84d | 0x8A160 | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 12 |
| 84d | chmaks | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyAxel Sola64¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$675 +56% | 12 |
| 85d | WhateverDude | Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola | BuyIsmael Bonfim36¢ → 0¢ | $5,577 | −$5,577 −100% | 9 |
dovetail590 sharesThis market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola means the market gives it about 0%.