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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier | 46% | +1 pts | — | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | $6.37K | in 12h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 51% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 52¢ (2¢) | $2.84K | in 12h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 28% | −7 pts | — | 25¢ · 31¢ (6¢) | $314 | in 12h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 34% | −4 pts | — | 30¢ · 37¢ (7¢) | — | in 12h |
| Mahjoub to win by KO/TKO? | 16% | −16 pts | — | 13¢ · 18¢ (5¢) | — | in 12h |
| Faglier to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | −13 pts | — | 16¢ · 21¢ (5¢) | — | in 12h |
| Fight won by submission? | 40% | −3 pts | — | 36¢ · 43¢ (7¢) | — | in 12h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 79% | +11 pts | — | 74¢ · 83¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 33% | −7 pts | — | 31¢ · 35¢ (4¢) | — | in 12h |
| Fight won by decision? | 27% | −9 pts | — | 22¢ · 32¢ (10¢) | — | in 12h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 39% | −3 pts | — | 34¢ · 43¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 62% | +3 pts | — | 57¢ · 66¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| Mahjoub in Round 1 | 18% | −14 pts | — | 13¢ · 22¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| Mahjoub in Round 2 | 11% | −18 pts | — | 6¢ · 15¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| Mahjoub in Round 3 | 7% | −20 pts | — | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 12h |
| Faglier in Round 1 | 21% | −12 pts | — | 16¢ · 26¢ (10¢) | — | in 12h |
| Faglier in Round 2 | 13% | −16 pts | — | 8¢ · 17¢ (9¢) | — | in 12h |
| Faglier in Round 3 | 7% | −20 pts | — | 3¢ · 11¢ (8¢) | — | in 12h |
| Decision or Draw | 27% | −9 pts | — | 22¢ · 32¢ (10¢) | — | in 12h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | omnibus-076daa | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder50¢ → 49¢ | $1,055 | −$20 −1.9% | 32 |
| 6h |  nigiri99 | Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier | BuyJavad Mahjoub45¢ → 46¢ | $1,426 | +$16 +1.1% | 30 |
nigiri993,783 shares
SteadyC1,147 shares
300PS622 shares
Gl4d544 shares
Alvves787 sharesThis market will resolve to "Javad Mahjoub" if Javad Mahjoub is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Faglier at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Faglier" if Joel Faglier is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier means the market gives it about 46%.