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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Baraniewski to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tafa to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132d | kkookkoo | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $2,395 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  csgod | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,268 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  mirroredtrade-RocWins | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $2,529 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Ivolama | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,233 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | kutsumiakia | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,548 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  ethanweng | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $4,475 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Sweaty-Interest | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski>99¢ | $1,323 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski99¢ → 100¢ | $6,901 | −$70 −1.0% | — |
| 132d | lluucckkyy2 fills | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski80¢ → 100¢ | $31,976 | +$8,209 +26% | 11 |
| 132d |  Laneeee | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 11 |
| 132d |  Flipadelphia | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski79¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$420 +27% | 11 |
| 132d | kkookkoo | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder71¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$695 +41% | 14 |
| 132d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski79¢ → 100¢ | $5,507 | +$1,464 +27% | 17 |
| 132d | Sweaty-Interest | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski79¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$278 +27% | 11 |
| 132d | Sassy-Bucket6 fills | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyJunior Tafa22¢ → 0¢ | $88,293 | −$88,293 −100% | 14 |
| 132d | olddirtyfighter | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 11 |
| 132d | DanaRight | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | SellIwo Baraniewski79¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | −$426 −27% | — |
| 133d | DanaRight | Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski | BuyIwo Baraniewski79¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$430 +27% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Junior Tafa" if Junior Tafa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Iwo Baraniewski at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Iwo Baraniewski" if Iwo Baraniewski is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski means the market gives it about 0%.