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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green vs. Gibson Jr. | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gibson Jr. win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Green win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307d | 6yuyurrg | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | SellGreen>99¢ | $97,000 | −$97 −0.1% | — |
| 307d | Empty-Lathe | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | SellGreen99¢ → 100¢ | $10,633 | −$107 −1.0% | — |
| 307d | tcp2 | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | SellGreen99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 307d | rwo | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGreen99¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$22 +1.0% | 4 |
| 307d | rwo | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,044 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 307d | thepunterwhopunts | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.30¢ → 0¢ | $3,098 | −$3,098 −100% | 14 |
| 307d | Dingwin | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 307d | gmanas | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGreen61¢ → 100¢ | $2,223 | +$1,422 +64% | 14 |
| 307d | Empty-Lathe | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGreen63¢ → 100¢ | $5,232 | +$3,008 +57% | 14 |
| 307d |  sunflowaa | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.38¢ → 0¢ | $1,876 | −$1,876 −100% | 14 |
| 307d | acta2026 | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.37¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 307d | renzent | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.37¢ → 0¢ | $1,110 | −$1,110 −100% | 14 |
| 307d | C63AMG | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGibson Jr.37¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 14 |
| 309d | 210213k120-jr210j12t563h11 | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGreen61¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$968 +64% | 9 |
| 309d | Amazing-Hovel | Green vs. Gibson Jr. | BuyGreen61¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$729 +64% | 9 |
AllHatNoCattle694201,144 shares
4AM-HSmm522 shares
tararira477 sharesThis market will resolve to "Green" if King Green is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lance Gibson Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape, scheduled for December 13, 2025. It will resolve to "Gibson Jr." if Lance Gibson Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 27, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Green vs. Gibson Jr. means the market gives it about 100%.