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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| McKinney to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nelson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | Warm-Faucet | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $5,617 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | BoggsFromShawshank | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $48,007 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | joosangyoo | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $12,031 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Impolite-Interval-ConstellationNew account | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  GolD0Roger | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $4,679 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  labradoodle | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | barashq | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $1,573 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Momentumtrades | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  TheBigHoss | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | SellTerrance McKinney>99¢ | $2,137 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  GeepaP | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney99¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$25 +1.3% | 4 |
| 202d | labradoodle | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney94¢ → 100¢ | $2,822 | +$178 +6.3% | 6 |
| 202d |  Cooked | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney67¢ → 100¢ | $2,711 | +$1,320 +49% | 14 |
| 202d | barashq | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney64¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$559 +55% | 14 |
| 202d | leo0770 | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 14 |
| 202d |  obamason | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$1,850 +59% | 14 |
| 202d | joosangyoo | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney64¢ → 100¢ | $64,000 | +$36,000 +56% | 14 |
| 202d |  matanovik | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyKyle Nelson37¢ → 0¢ | $2,020 | −$2,020 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Warm-Faucet | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney64¢ → 100¢ | $9,996 | +$5,623 +56% | 14 |
| 202d | GolD0Roger | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney64¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$1,686 +56% | 14 |
| 202d | KirksCousin | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyKyle Nelson37¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Momentumtrades | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney64¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$3,600 +56% | 14 |
| 202d | Jdhdhduu | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $18,359 | +$10,783 +59% | 14 |
| 202d | Impolite-Interval-ConstellationNew account | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$1,028 +59% | 26 |
| 202d | TheBigHoss | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$763 +59% | 14 |
| 202d | brokemaxdegen | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder69¢ → 100¢ | $11,500 | +$5,167 +45% | 14 |
| 202d | Kat23 fills | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyKyle Nelson38¢ → 0¢ | $34,116 | −$34,116 −100% | 14 |
| 202d |  b33t | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney62¢ → 100¢ | $4,616 | +$2,829 +61% | 14 |
| 202d | christianox | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyKyle Nelson37¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | −$3,700 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | mikesports | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $4,987 | +$2,929 +59% | 14 |
| 202d | quiteimprobable | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $5,040 | +$2,960 +59% | 12 |
| 203d | third-eye | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$740 +59% | 12 |
| 203d | GambleFroth2 fills | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyKyle Nelson38¢ → 0¢ | $6,052 | −$6,052 −100% | 9 |
| 204d | elkmonkey | Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney | BuyTerrance McKinney63¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$737 +59% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney means the market gives it about 0%.