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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | 64% | — | −4 pts | 63¢ · 64¢ (1¢) | $4.12K | in 11h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 32% | −1 pts | −18 pts | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | $103 | in 11h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 39% | — | −13 pts | 38¢ · 39¢ (1¢) | — | in 11h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 41% | −2 pts | −9 pts | 37¢ · 45¢ (8¢) | — | in 11h |
| Daukaus to win by KO/TKO? | 24% | −10 pts | −26 pts | 20¢ · 28¢ (8¢) | — | in 11h |
| Barriault to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | −14 pts | −32 pts | 15¢ · 22¢ (7¢) | — | in 11h |
| Fight won by submission? | 27% | −9 pts | −24 pts | 22¢ · 31¢ (9¢) | — | in 11h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 82% | +13 pts | +32 pts | 77¢ · 86¢ (9¢) | — | in 11h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 57% | −1 pts | +7 pts | 56¢ · 59¢ (3¢) | — | in 11h |
| Fight won by decision? | 33% | −6 pts | −16 pts | 28¢ · 38¢ (10¢) | — | in 11h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 34% | +1 pts | −16 pts | 32¢ · 35¢ (3¢) | — | in 11h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 56% | +1 pts | +7 pts | 54¢ · 58¢ (4¢) | — | in 11h |
| Daukaus in Round 1 | 24% | −10 pts | −25 pts | 19¢ · 29¢ (10¢) | — | in 11h |
| Daukaus in Round 2 | 16% | −15 pts | −34 pts | 11¢ · 20¢ (9¢) | — | in 11h |
| Daukaus in Round 3 | 8% | −19 pts | −41 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 11h |
| Barriault in Round 1 | 10% | −18 pts | −40 pts | 5¢ · 14¢ (9¢) | — | in 11h |
| Barriault in Round 2 | 8% | −19 pts | −42 pts | 3¢ · 12¢ (9¢) | — | in 11h |
| Barriault in Round 3 | 6% | −21 pts | −44 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 11h |
| Decision or Draw | 33% | −6 pts | −16 pts | 28¢ · 38¢ (10¢) | — | in 11h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12h | Gold.Mansacks | Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault | BuyKyle Daukaus64¢ | $1,280 | −$10 −0.8% | 32 |
VeryLucky888630 shares
dovetail600 shares
PhilHawesLover153 shares
Alvves1,111 shares
pup11,063 shares
Mickey31811 shares
300PS688 shares
4751346400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 64¢ for Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault means the market gives it about 64%.