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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Carolina to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Mullins to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210d | LYnetLY2 fills | Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins | BuyLuana Carolina51¢ → 50¢ | $10,200 | −$200 −2.0% | 9 |
| 211d | banepir | Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins | BuyLuana Carolina51¢ → 50¢ | $3,339 | −$65 −2.0% | 9 |
| 211d | Lawful-HandgunNew account | O/U 1.5 Rounds | SellOver50¢ | $1,082 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 211d | Lawful-HandgunNew account | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver51¢ → 50¢ | $1,110 | −$22 −2.0% | 18 |
| 211d |  obamason | Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins | BuyMelissa Mullins48¢ → 50¢ | $5,447 | +$176 +3.2% | 9 |
| 217d | Shocked-Prospect | Luana Carolina vs. Melissa Mullins | BuyMelissa Mullins47¢ → 50¢ | $1,846 | +$118 +6.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Luana Carolina" if Luana Carolina is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Mullins at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Mullins" if Melissa Mullins is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for O/U 1.5 Rounds means the market gives it about 50%.