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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lacerda to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sosa to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d |  midplays | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | SellHecher Sosa>99¢ | $3,196 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | qwe258 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 216d |  IGBGMN | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | SellHecher Sosa>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | VPenguin7 fills | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | SellHecher Sosa>99¢ | $33,564 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | BTCFudder | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | SellHecher Sosa>99¢ | $1,257 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 217d | Untried-Color | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | SellHecher Sosa>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 217d |  WordleAddict | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda45¢ → 0¢ | $5,384 | −$5,384 −100% | 12 |
| 217d | benwyatt | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa58¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$737 +72% | 12 |
| 217d | elkmonkey | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa50¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | +$1,861 +100% | 12 |
| 217d |  GeepaP | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa63¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$877 +59% | 12 |
| 217d | bcda | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda37¢ → 0¢ | $1,766 | −$1,766 −100% | 12 |
| 217d | SammySledge2 fills | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda37¢ → 0¢ | $10,426 | −$10,426 −100% | 12 |
| 217d | jizzbucket57 | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda37¢ → 0¢ | $2,960 | −$2,960 −100% | 12 |
| 217d | VPenguin | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa63¢ → 100¢ | $21,574 | +$12,670 +59% | 12 |
| 217d |  gopfan2 | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda37¢ → 0¢ | $7,400 | −$7,400 −100% | 12 |
| 217d |  berboche | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 12 |
| 217d | Untried-Color | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa64¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$576 +56% | 12 |
| 217d | CemeterySun | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyLuan Lacerda34¢ → 0¢ | $1,322 | −$1,322 −100% | 12 |
| 217d | midplays | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa67¢ → 100¢ | $2,143 | +$1,056 +49% | 12 |
| 220d | bigniga | Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa | BuyHecher Sosa68¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$571 +47% | 6 |
gopfan220,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Luan Lacerda" if Luan Lacerda is officially declared the winner of the fight against Hecher Sosa at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Hecher Sosa" if Hecher Sosa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa means the market gives it about 0%.