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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | 100% | +35 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +44 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dern to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −34 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −11 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robertson to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 100% | +41 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 100% | +34 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +18 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +7 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62d | Campsite | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $1,230 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 62d |  ExpaVertex2 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $16,310 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | Wordy-Littleneck | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $259,740 | −$260 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | Smallfalcons2000 | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | madkkee | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $5,439 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | alaskabaked | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | masterkopeek | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,276 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | Fachini97 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 62d |  HuntersMethDealer | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $1,263 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | das123123d | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $18,948 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | tennischamp | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $45,692 | −$46 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | 999shashumga | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $1,844 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | AnonymousPerson | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $15,551 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 62d |  soylentgoy | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern>99¢ | $5,322 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 62d | Large-Sunbonnet | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern99¢ → 100¢ | $1,720 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 62d | blket | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern99¢ → 100¢ | $2,746 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 62d | enjoyablestench | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern98¢ → 100¢ | $10,486 | −$211 −2.0% | — |
| 62d | Peaceful-Fire-BellNew account | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern99¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$16 +0.6% | 4 |
| 62d | Kidfp | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern99¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 62d | Definitive-Reject | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyGillian Robertson8¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | enjoyablestench | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern93¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$697 +7.0% | 6 |
| 62d | Notag12411 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern93¢ → 100¢ | $2,989 | +$225 +7.5% | 6 |
| 62d | NXYD | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern93¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$156 +7.5% | 6 |
| 62d | LudoPriclychenie2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $5,341 | +$6,175 +116% | 14 |
| 62d |  User1244322 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern91¢ → 100¢ | $46,746 | +$4,623 +9.9% | 7 |
| 62d |  LadyLuck2 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern90¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | +$417 +11% | 7 |
| 62d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern66¢ → 100¢ | $360,868 | +$183K +51% | 14 |
| 62d | 2HAE | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern90¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | +$278 +12% | 7 |
| 62d | tio.patinhas | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern89¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$125 +12% | 8 |
| 62d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyGillian Robertson12¢ → 0¢ | $3,968 | −$3,968 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | ringo555 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$355 +12% | 8 |
| 62d | nbafan882 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern94¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | −$180 −6.1% | — |
| 62d | gaclfz3 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern70¢ → 100¢ | $7,821 | +$3,289 +42% | 14 |
| 62d | Flawed-Trance | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern91¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$111 +9.9% | 7 |
| 62d | tennischamp4 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern80¢ → 100¢ | $33,546 | +$8,279 +25% | 11 |
| 62d |  VeryLucky8882 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | SellMackenzie Dern90¢ → 100¢ | $3,580 | −$420 −12% | — |
| 62d | takeormake | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyGillian Robertson10¢ → 0¢ | $2,232 | −$2,232 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | gambooool4 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $46,054 | +$25,339 +55% | 14 |
| 62d | blket | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$449 +30% | 12 |
| 62d | takeormake7 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $18,300 | +$9,854 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | Yawning-Chicken4 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $15,006 | +$8,080 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | das123123d3 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $12,328 | +$6,638 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  0xwise | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $4,855 | +$2,614 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  nigiri992 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $10,801 | +$5,816 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  Hitmonlee | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  DumplingBMF | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$910 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | brokemaxdegen | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $24,394 | +$13,135 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | WYNNERBACC | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  sleepy-panda | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $65,000 | +$35,000 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  Painfulvoid3 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $52,975 | +$28,782 +54% | 9 |
| 62d | Pastka | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$700 +54% | 14 |
| 62d |  JustADonk2 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $5,160 | +$2,840 +55% | 14 |
| 62d |  Flipadelphia | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyGillian Robertson36¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | 0xa0f2…18484 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $5,200 | +$2,800 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | Lawfulworm43 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$706 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | BaseballBill | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyGillian Robertson36¢ → 0¢ | $2,693 | −$2,693 −100% | 14 |
| 62d | Mandu448 | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern65¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | +$1,049 +54% | 14 |
| 62d | madkkee2 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern64¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$1,937 +55% | 14 |
| 62d | Sassy-Bucket | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern64¢ → 100¢ | $119,070 | +$66,977 +56% | 14 |
| 62d | Wordy-Littleneck4 fills | Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson | BuyMackenzie Dern64¢ → 100¢ | $166,400 | +$93,600 +56% | 14 |
This market will resolve to "Mackenzie Dern" if Mackenzie Dern is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Gillian Robertson" if Gillian Robertson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson means the market gives it about 100%.