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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Costa to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Schnell to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132d | kutsumiakia | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | SellAlessandro Costa>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 132d |  ethanweng | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | SellAlessandro Costa>99¢ | $4,215 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 132d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | SellAlessandro Costa99¢ → 100¢ | $5,544 | −$56 −1.0% | — |
| 132d | Substantial-Service | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa80¢ → 100¢ | $191,178 | +$47,794 +25% | 11 |
| 132d |  0xLoneStar | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa80¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$2,000 +25% | 11 |
| 132d | mememez | Costa to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,118 | +$661 +59% | 14 |
| 132d | Sassy-Bucket10 fills | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa80¢ → 100¢ | $318,803 | +$81,215 +25% | 11 |
| 132d | ic4cream | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyMatt Schnell21¢ → 0¢ | $1,554 | −$1,554 −100% | 14 |
| 132d | jaytee158 | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$500 +25% | 11 |
| 132d | Ill-Mind | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyMatt Schnell21¢ → 0¢ | $5,250 | −$5,250 −100% | 14 |
| 132d | Shrill-Aunt | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | SellMatt Schnell20¢ → 0¢ | $4,544 | +$4,544 +100% | — |
| 132d | Joyful-LotionNew account | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa80¢ → 100¢ | $4,480 | +$1,120 +25% | 17 |
| 132d | surfandturf | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyMatt Schnell21¢ → 0¢ | $4,097 | −$4,097 −100% | 14 |
| 132d | Wordy-Littleneck | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyMatt Schnell21¢ → 0¢ | $21,392 | −$21,392 −100% | 14 |
| 132d |  DonHarino | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | SellAlessandro Costa77¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$331 −30% | — |
| 132d | DonHarino | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa81¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | +$276 +24% | 9 |
| 133d | darthstpn | Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa | BuyAlessandro Costa79¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$351 +27% | 10 |
| 133d |  beet420 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $49,098 | +$37,413 +76% | 12 |
| 133d |  xyzjiggadrew | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder56¢ → 100¢ | $5,338 | +$4,194 +79% | 12 |
| 133d | Whalerfan | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder56¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$803 +79% | 12 |
| 133d | arlanta | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyOver44¢ → 0¢ | $1,418 | −$1,418 −100% | 12 |
| 133d |  Painfulvoid | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $19,633 | +$14,811 +75% | 9 |
SemyonMarmeladov100,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Matt Schnell" if Matt Schnell is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alessandro Costa at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Alessandro Costa" if Alessandro Costa is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa means the market gives it about 0%.