Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan | 40% | — | — | 39¢ · 40¢ (1¢) | $269 | in 7d |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan to win by KO/TKO? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Fight won by submission? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 93% | — | — | 88¢ · 97¢ (9¢) | — | in 7d |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 91% | — | — | 84¢ · 97¢ (13¢) | — | in 7d |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Fight won by decision? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50% | −1 pts | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Ends before Round 4? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Ends before Round 5? | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili in Round 2 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili in Round 4 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Dvalishvili in Round 5 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan in Round 1 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan in Round 2 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan in Round 3 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan in Round 4 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Yan in Round 5 | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| Decision or Draw | 50% | — | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0cen2 fills | Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan | BuyMerab Dvalishvili40¢ | $3,670 | −$28 −0.8% | 24 |
| 5d | enjoyablestench | Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan | BuyPetr Yan62¢ → 61¢ | $1,000 | −$27 −2.7% | 24 |
This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 40¢ for Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan means the market gives it about 40%.