Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chiesa to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Price to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202d | BoggsFromShawshank | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | SellMichael Chiesa>99¢ | $28,772 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 202d | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | SellMichael Chiesa>99¢ | $7,032 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 202d | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | SellMichael Chiesa>99¢ | $1,796 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 202d | AllYouCanEat | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder>99¢ | $5,417 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 202d | nbafan88 | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | SellMichael Chiesa99¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 202d | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BuyUnder88¢ → 100¢ | $3,897 | +$523 +13% | 8 | |
| 202d | takeormake | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa99¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | +$34 +1.5% | 4 |
| 202d | fishyfishyfishy | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$195 +15% | 8 |
| 202d | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $6,282 | +$757 +12% | 8 | |
| 202d | joosangyoo | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyNiko Price12¢ → 0¢ | $1,805 | −$1,805 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | smegma3000 | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$176 +12% | 8 |
| 202d | Momentumtrades | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyNiko Price12¢ → 0¢ | $5,075 | −$5,075 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | Warm-Faucet | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $5,617 | +$694 +12% | 8 |
| 202d | CanadianGoose3 fills | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $11,757 | +$1,453 +12% | 8 |
| 202d | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$198 +12% | 8 | |
| 202d | Erebus6942 | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$222 +12% | 8 |
| 202d | Massimo24 | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa88¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$1,950 +13% | 8 |
| 202d | isp | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyNiko Price12¢ → 0¢ | $3,281 | −$3,281 −100% | 14 |
| 202d | christianox | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa89¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$550 +12% | 8 |
| 202d | theyseemeloosintheyhatin | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa87¢ → 100¢ | $2,684 | +$401 +15% | 7 |
| 202d | mwenya | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$175 +15% | 7 |
| 202d | elkmonkey | Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price | BuyMichael Chiesa87¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$164 +15% | 7 |
This market will resolve to "Michael Chiesa" if Michael Chiesa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Niko Price at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026. It will resolve to "Niko Price" if Niko Price is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price means the market gives it about 100%.