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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley | 54% | — | +2 pts | 53¢ · 54¢ (1¢) | $53.5K | in 14h |
| Buckley to win by KO/TKO? | 31% | −7 pts | −26 pts | 27¢ · 34¢ (7¢) | $143 | in 14h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 51% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 47¢ · 54¢ (7¢) | $115 | in 14h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 34% | −2 pts | −16 pts | 32¢ · 35¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | −13 pts | −31 pts | 16¢ · 22¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by submission? | 14% | −14 pts | −36 pts | 11¢ · 18¢ (7¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 91% | +17 pts | +41 pts | 87¢ · 95¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 78% | +11 pts | +27 pts | 73¢ · 82¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 65% | −1 pts | +14 pts | 61¢ · 68¢ (7¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 50% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 43% | +1 pts | −9 pts | 41¢ · 44¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by decision? | 35% | −5 pts | −14 pts | 30¢ · 40¢ (10¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 15% | — | −34 pts | 13¢ · 17¢ (4¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 29% | — | −20 pts | 28¢ · 30¢ (2¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 4? | 42% | +1 pts | −8 pts | 40¢ · 43¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 5? | 55% | +2 pts | +6 pts | 53¢ · 56¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott in Round 1 | 9% | −18 pts | −41 pts | 4¢ · 13¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott in Round 2 | 9% | −18 pts | −41 pts | 4¢ · 13¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott in Round 3 | 7% | −20 pts | −43 pts | 3¢ · 10¢ (7¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott in Round 4 | 7% | −20 pts | −42 pts | 3¢ · 11¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| Malott in Round 5 | 6% | −21 pts | −43 pts | 3¢ · 9¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Buckley in Round 1 | 8% | −19 pts | −42 pts | 3¢ · 12¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Buckley in Round 2 | 8% | −19 pts | −41 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| Buckley in Round 3 | 9% | −20 pts | −41 pts | 7¢ · 10¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Buckley in Round 4 | 10% | −19 pts | −40 pts | 6¢ · 13¢ (7¢) | — | in 14h |
| Buckley in Round 5 | 8% | −20 pts | −41 pts | 5¢ · 11¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Decision or Draw | 35% | −5 pts | −14 pts | 30¢ · 40¢ (10¢) | — | in 14h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | madkkee | Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley | SellMike Malott53¢ → 54¢ | $11,112 | −$105 −0.9% | — |
| 5h | madkkee | Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley | BuyMike Malott54¢ | $11,321 | −$105 −0.9% | 29 |
| 9h | Gold.Mansacks | Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley | BuyJoaquin Buckley47¢ | $1,410 | −$15 −1.1% | 14 |
| 2d |  VeryLucky888 | Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley | BuyMike Malott53¢ → 54¢ | $1,060 | +$10 +0.9% | 8 |
VeryLucky88811,035 shares
Aaarwid942 shares
Alvves755 shares
elmcap27,500 shares
pup15,000 shares
tizzles2,554 shares
njch.las1,109 sharesThis market will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joaquin Buckley at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 54¢ for Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley means the market gives it about 54%.