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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo | 28% | — | −1 pts | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $2.92K | in 14h |
| Nallo to win by KO/TKO? | 53% | +1 pts | +3 pts | 51¢ · 55¢ (4¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 35% | — | −15 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $3.03 | in 14h |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 14% | — | −16 pts | 12¢ · 15¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 65% | +1 pts | +15 pts | 61¢ · 69¢ (8¢) | — | in 14h |
| Landwehr to win by KO/TKO? | 14% | −15 pts | −36 pts | 11¢ · 17¢ (6¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by submission? | 23% | −11 pts | −28 pts | 19¢ · 26¢ (7¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 66% | +4 pts | +16 pts | 61¢ · 70¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 17% | −13 pts | −32 pts | 15¢ · 19¢ (4¢) | — | in 14h |
| Fight won by decision? | 13% | −16 pts | −20 pts | 8¢ · 17¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 2? | 57% | +2 pts | +8 pts | 55¢ · 59¢ (4¢) | — | in 14h |
| Ends before Round 3? | 82% | — | +32 pts | 80¢ · 83¢ (3¢) | — | in 14h |
| Landwehr in Round 1 | 12% | −17 pts | −40 pts | 7¢ · 16¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Landwehr in Round 2 | 10% | −18 pts | −40 pts | 5¢ · 14¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Landwehr in Round 3 | 6% | −21 pts | −45 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 14h |
| Nallo in Round 1 | 46% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 41¢ · 51¢ (10¢) | — | in 14h |
| Nallo in Round 2 | 16% | −16 pts | −34 pts | 11¢ · 20¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| Nallo in Round 3 | 6% | −21 pts | −44 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | — | in 14h |
| Decision or Draw | 13% | −16 pts | −39 pts | 8¢ · 17¢ (9¢) | — | in 14h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  elmcap2 | Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo | BuyMandel Nallo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,615 | +$11 +0.7% | 27 |
VeryLucky8881,115 shares
nigiri991,007 shares
leflaive200 shareselmcap23,576 shares
475134638 sharesThis market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 28¢ for Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo means the market gives it about 28%.