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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | 0% | −40 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −13 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +21 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Perez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +14 pts | +45 pts | 90¢ · 100¢ (10¢) | — | ended |
| Dumont to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dumont in Round 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +10 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 100% | +22 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −8 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dumont in Round 1 | 0% | −11 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dumont in Round 2 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez in Round 1 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez in Round 2 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Perez in Round 3 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d |  3648393489047 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellAilin Perez>99¢ | $3,531 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | 0xa0f2…1848 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellAilin Perez>99¢ | $1,166 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 20d |  digitalnomad85 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellAilin Perez>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | chao9152 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellAilin Perez99¢ → 100¢ | $2,298 | −$23 −1.0% | — |
| 20d | takeormake | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez30¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$2,479 +229% | 14 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service3 fills | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont72¢ → 0¢ | $21,778 | −$21,778 −100% | 13 |
| 20d | ferrariChampions2026 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont74¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 13 |
| 20d | confusedinlife | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont71¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | DanaWhite- | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellNorma Dumont71¢ → 0¢ | $1,116 | +$1,116 +100% | — |
| 20d | 3648393489047 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellNorma Dumont72¢ → 0¢ | $1,180 | +$1,180 +100% | — |
| 20d |  elmcap2 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont71¢ → 0¢ | $3,135 | −$3,135 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | frohp5 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellNorma Dumont69¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | +$1,647 +100% | — |
| 20d | spendingmoney | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont71¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | ferrariChampions2026 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez35¢ → 100¢ | $3,077 | +$5,670 +184% | 14 |
| 20d | Yawning-Chicken | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez51¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$1,165 +96% | 14 |
| 20d | 3648393489047 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont52¢ → 0¢ | $10,058 | −$10,058 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | takeormake | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont22¢ → 0¢ | $1,447 | −$1,447 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | 3648393489047 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez75¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$369 +33% | 12 |
| 20d | Substantial-Service | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez60¢ → 100¢ | $101,188 | +$67,459 +67% | 14 |
| 20d |  Nooserac | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,923 | +$1,731 +25% | 11 |
| 20d | Yawning-Chicken2 fills | Fight won by submission? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $12,564 | +$3,141 +25% | 11 |
| 20d | Sassy-Bucket | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont40¢ → 0¢ | $11,192 | −$11,192 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | gangmusic | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | SellAilin Perez60¢ → 100¢ | $6,221 | −$4,147 −67% | — |
| 20d | Spanish-Dragonfruit | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyNorma Dumont40¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 14 |
| 20d | christianox | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez60¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$827 +67% | 12 |
| 21d | digitalnomad85 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$667 +67% | 12 |
| 21d | elmcap2 | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez60¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$3,000 +67% | 9 |
| 22d | gangmusic | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez59¢ → 100¢ | $4,598 | +$3,195 +69% | 9 |
| 22d | Late-Citizen2 fills | Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez | BuyAilin Perez59¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$1,660 +71% | 9 |
DOLLAR-PRINTER7,172 shares
yungtrappa3,800 shares
itdo2,550 sharesThis market will resolve to "Norma Dumont" if Norma Dumont is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ailin Perez at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Ailin Perez" if Ailin Perez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez means the market gives it about 0%.