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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli | 0% | −23 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +36 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Degli to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 2? | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Moran to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · 3¢ | — | ended |
| Degli in Round 3 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by decision? | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Ends before Round 3? | 100% | +45 pts | — | 89¢ · 100¢ (11¢) | — | ended |
| Moran in Round 1 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Moran in Round 2 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Moran in Round 3 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Degli in Round 1 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Degli in Round 2 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Decision or Draw | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d |  3648393489047 | Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli | BuyMarcos Degli79¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | +$488 +27% | 11 |
| 24d |  Judas-Priest | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 13 |
| 24d | Flowery-Self | Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli | BuyParis Moran22¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 12 |
| 24d | THEdirkdiggler | Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli | BuyMarcos Degli78¢ → 100¢ | $2,812 | +$793 +28% | 10 |
GeepaP1,981 shares
dovetail1,500 shares
dovers750 sharesThis market will resolve to "Paris Moran" if Paris Moran is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7, scheduled for September 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 6, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Paris Moran vs. Marcos Degli means the market gives it about 0%.