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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock vs. Aliev | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | −1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Aliev win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | −1 pts | — | 50¢ · 99¢ (49¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 50¢ (49¢) | — | ended |
| Rock win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −13 pts | — | <1¢ · 50¢ (50¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 328d | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,151 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 328d | MAGA.ONE | Rock win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 329d | qwe258 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,637 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 329d | 6yuyurrg | Rock vs. Aliev | SellAliev>99¢ | $10,015 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 329d | Candid-Pate | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,637 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 329d | rwo | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,641 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 329d | rubenx0991 | Rock vs. Aliev | SellAliev>99¢ | $11,749 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 329d | 6yuyurrg | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev99¢ → 100¢ | $3,956 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 329d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyRock26¢ → 0¢ | $25,817 | −$25,817 −100% | 12 | |
| 329d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev75¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,000 +33% | 11 | |
| 329d | WALLYFIGHTS | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev75¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,000 +33% | 11 |
| 329d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev74¢ → 100¢ | $2,746 | +$965 +35% | 11 | |
| 329d | C63AMG2 fills | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev73¢ → 100¢ | $2,725 | +$997 +37% | 8 |
| 329d | ckw | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyRock26¢ → 0¢ | $6,196 | −$6,196 −100% | 12 |
| 329d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev74¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$435 +35% | 11 | |
| 329d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev73¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$485 +37% | 11 | |
| 330d | ZerOptimist2 fills | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev73¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$847 +36% | 8 |
| 331d | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev70¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$443 +43% | 9 | |
| 332d | lvcsh | Rock vs. Aliev | BuyAliev71¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$478 +41% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Rock" if Shem Rock is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker, scheduled for November 22, 2025. It will resolve to "Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond December 6, 2025, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Rock vs. Aliev means the market gives it about 0%.