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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | 100% | +82 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −66 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +10 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +83 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −20 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nurmagomedov to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yadong to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +90 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −68 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −85 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −77 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | Amused-Snowplow | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | 0x9a5a…8151 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | edisonc | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Jkjkkjjkkjkkjjkkj | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,473 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing3 fills | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $8,713 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | sickomoooo | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $3,310 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Colorless-Spotlight | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $3,057 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Franklin7771 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $13,225 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | zcc19970101 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $2,215 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d |  billy578 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $3,526 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | billy578 | Fight won by KO/TKO? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,524 | −$45 −1.0% | — |
| 49d | jonathan888 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $2,026 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | suntori2 fills | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $59,593 | −$60 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | RON98. | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $16,490 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 49d |  alpheclabs | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $8,099 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | zzqq35 | Fight to Go the Distance? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,642 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | zzqq35 | O/U 4.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Ru7123 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,995 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | 0x0dae…72fe | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,358 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | ziv.timss | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d |  KLccKris | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $3,217 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Studious-Acorn | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,937 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | wei9152 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,404 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | chao9152 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $2,509 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Firsthand-Scrutiny | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong>99¢ | $1,811 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | dummyricher | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong99¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 49d | Gyhwh | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong99¢ → 100¢ | $2,404 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 49d | Trollollollollol | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellSong Yadong99¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 49d | BossJoe12342 fills | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong34¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$11,441 +191% | 12 |
| 49d | dummyricher | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong92¢ → 100¢ | $1,541 | +$134 +8.7% | 6 |
| 49d |  thebluegem2 fills | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong98¢ → 100¢ | $10,847 | +$215 +2.0% | 5 |
| 49d | MEK9 | O/U 0.5 Rounds | BuyOver99¢ → 100¢ | $3,955 | +$40 +1.0% | 4 |
| 49d |  4751346 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov87¢ → 0¢ | $1,740 | −$1,740 −100% | 7 |
| 49d | Trollollollollol | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov76¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 10 |
| 49d | gityu | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellUmar Nurmagomedov85¢ → 0¢ | $1,685 | +$1,685 +100% | — |
| 49d | kingb25 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $5,096 | −$5,096 −100% | 8 |
| 49d | wtylyjwyz | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $2,476 | −$2,476 −100% | 8 |
| 49d |  matanovik | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong17¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$4,916 +488% | 12 |
| 49d | GooldzX2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $5,034 | −$5,034 −100% | 12 |
| 49d |  VeryLucky888 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | — |
| 49d | TheWindKnowsmyName3 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $3,625 | +$4,022 +111% | 12 |
| 49d | TheWindKnowsmyName2 fills | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyUnder40¢ → 100¢ | $4,042 | +$6,069 +150% | 12 |
| 49d | 1mPP | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $1,589 | −$1,589 −100% | 8 |
| 49d | hanlun | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $21,479 | −$21,479 −100% | 8 |
| 49d |  hanbetscap | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $1,932 | −$1,932 −100% | 8 |
| 49d | vincentchase11 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 8 |
| 49d |  Painfulvoid4 fills | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $25,025 | −$25,025 −100% | 5 |
| 49d | Allinziben | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov84¢ → 0¢ | $19,820 | −$19,820 −100% | 8 |
| 49d | lol999 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $1,353 | −$1,353 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | ox1star84 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $2,075 | −$2,075 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | olddirtyfighter | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | −$1,052 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | nftdoom | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov82¢ → 0¢ | $2,223 | −$2,223 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | blket | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov82¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | Live-Hacksaw | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov82¢ → 0¢ | $5,936 | −$5,936 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | suntori | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | SellUmar Nurmagomedov81¢ → 0¢ | $1,382 | +$1,382 +100% | — |
| 49d |  RegardedMoney | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov81¢ → 0¢ | $2,835 | −$2,835 −100% | 9 |
| 49d | samuel333 | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong19¢ → 100¢ | $2,755 | +$11,745 +426% | 12 |
| 49d |  0xwise | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuySong Yadong18¢ → 100¢ | $5,042 | +$22,970 +456% | 12 |
| 49d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyOver65¢ → 0¢ | $3,120 | −$3,120 −100% | 12 |
| 49d |  Eire | Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov | BuyUmar Nurmagomedov83¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | −$1,004 −100% | 9 |
Painfulvoid83,897 shares
no1dodgersfan22,761 sharesThis market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov means the market gives it about 100%.