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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | 100% | +26 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +57 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Asplund to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −43 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +35 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −7 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −56 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pat to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −10 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +16 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70d | DLplmk | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund>99¢ | $1,670 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | Wordy-Littleneck | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund>99¢ | $78,255 | −$78 −0.1% | — |
| 70d |  ethanweng | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund>99¢ | $3,389 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 70d | AnonymousPerson | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund>99¢ | $1,702 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 70d | usdt43212 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund77¢ → 100¢ | $3,977 | −$1,159 −29% | — |
| 70d |  4751346 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$584 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | ferrariChampions2026 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat50¢ → 0¢ | $4,357 | −$4,357 −100% | 14 |
| 70d | Dingwin | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund51¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$2,450 +96% | 14 |
| 70d | takeormake | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund67¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$514 +49% | 14 |
| 70d | wtylyjwyz | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund81¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | −$303 −23% | — |
| 70d | kibanachi2 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund82¢ → 100¢ | $14,201 | +$3,139 +22% | 10 |
| 70d | neagara3 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund90¢ → 100¢ | $3,627 | +$396 +11% | 7 |
| 70d | neutralwave23 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | SellSteven Asplund84¢ → 100¢ | $1,670 | −$313 −19% | — |
| 70d | Substantial-Service | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund73¢ → 100¢ | $5,034 | +$1,862 +37% | 13 |
| 70d | gaclfz | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund70¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$509 +43% | 14 |
| 70d | NXYD | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat30¢ → 0¢ | $1,104 | −$1,104 −100% | 14 |
| 70d | Heaterrr | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat30¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 14 |
| 70d | neutralwave23 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | +$575 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | wtylyjwyz | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | +$714 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | Wordy-Littleneck2 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $55,616 | +$22,717 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | WYNNERBACC | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$817 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff5281413 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $118,044 | +$48,215 +41% | 14 |
| 70d |  feelingsuicidal | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $5,804 | +$2,371 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | sbsigner2 fills | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund71¢ → 100¢ | $7,120 | +$2,908 +41% | 14 |
| 70d | Talvez10 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat29¢ → 0¢ | $15,456 | −$15,456 −100% | 14 |
| 70d | feelingsuicidal | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$2,079 +170% | 14 |
| 70d | kkookkoo2 fills | Fight to Go the Distance? | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,553 | −$3,553 −100% | 14 |
| 70d | monkeymashingkeyboard | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuyGuilherme Pat27¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | −$2,551 −100% | 12 |
| 70d | usdt4321 | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund74¢ → 100¢ | $3,792 | +$1,332 +35% | 11 |
| 70d |  Kosherlocks | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund74¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,054 +35% | 11 |
| 71d | timezonewarrior | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund73¢ → 100¢ | $4,037 | +$1,493 +37% | 9 |
| 73d | NTSS | Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat | BuySteven Asplund73¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$873 +38% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Steven Asplund" if Steven Asplund is officially declared the winner of the fight against Guilherme Pat at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Guilherme Pat" if Guilherme Pat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Steven Asplund vs. Guilherme Pat means the market gives it about 100%.