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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sumudaerji to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aguilar to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223d | leo0770 | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $10,043 | — | — |
| 223d | Judicious-Flick | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $2,169 | — | — |
| 223d | brokemaxdegen | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $3,826 | — | — |
| 223d | Scaly-Packet | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $5,994 | — | — |
| 223d | Bite-Sized-StrawberryNew account | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $16,195 | — | — |
| 223d | smd333 | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $1,247 | — | — |
| 223d | 6yuyurrg | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $32,047 | — | — |
| 223d | Zenhack | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji>99¢ | $8,884 | — | — |
| 223d | leo07702 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji94¢ | $3,930 | — | 6 |
| 223d |  myjob | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji95¢ | $5,277 | — | — |
| 223d | 6yuyurrg4 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji83¢ | $8,760 | — | 10 |
| 223d | benwyatt | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar17¢ → 0¢ | $1,268 | −$1,268 −100% | 14 |
| 223d |  Mr.Ape | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar41¢ → 0¢ | $3,775 | −$3,775 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | Dingwin2 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji61¢ | $4,240 | — | 14 |
| 223d | VPenguin | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar40¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | −$1,824 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | WYNNERBACC | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 223d |  USD.CAD | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji61¢ | $3,050 | — | 14 |
| 223d |  sleepy-panda | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar40¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | bcda2 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji61¢ | $61,000 | — | 14 |
| 223d |  matanovik4 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar39¢ → 0¢ | $10,026 | −$10,026 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | brokemaxdegen | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji61¢ | $2,336 | — | 14 |
| 223d | 432614799197 | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji60¢ | $1,739 | — | 14 |
| 223d |  berbisminsk2 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar39¢ → 0¢ | $3,828 | −$3,828 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | olegio | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar39¢ → 0¢ | $11,633 | −$11,633 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | matanovik | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | SellSumudaerji61¢ | $6,100 | — | — |
| 223d | joosangyoo | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar39¢ → 0¢ | $3,900 | −$3,900 −100% | 14 |
| 223d | Judicious-Flick | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji62¢ | $1,346 | — | 14 |
| 223d | c4c4 | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar36¢ → 0¢ | $2,275 | −$2,275 −100% | 12 |
| 223d | KirksCousin | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar36¢ → 0¢ | $3,326 | −$3,326 −100% | 12 |
| 223d | Scaly-Packet | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji66¢ | $3,960 | — | 12 |
| 224d | GambleFroth | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji66¢ | $1,542 | — | 12 |
| 224d |  Painfulvoid2 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji65¢ | $9,185 | — | 9 |
| 224d | SammySledge | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuyJesus Aguilar35¢ → 0¢ | $4,089 | −$4,089 −100% | 9 |
| 225d | 4qfrankie | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji66¢ | $5,322 | — | 9 |
| 225d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji66¢ | $4,950 | — | 9 |
| 225d | Bite-Sized-StrawberryNew account | Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar | BuySumudaerji66¢ | $3,000 | — | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Sumudaerji " if Sumudaerji is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jesus Aguilar at UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2, scheduled for March 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Jesus Aguilar" if Jesus Aguilar is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for O/U 2.5 Rounds means the market gives it about 100%.