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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | 0% | −38 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +56 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tokkos to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −20 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +68 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −54 pts | −58 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erslan to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −33 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +44 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −40 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | laoli668 | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $7,992 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Black-Bondsman | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $1,872 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  MoneyBnkz | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $4,875 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  sunflowaa | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | qscbn | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $1,665 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | kutsumiakia | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan>99¢ | $1,194 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  wowfarm | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan>99¢ | $6,203 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 153d |  3648393489047 | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan99¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | +$43 +1.0% | 4 |
| 153d |  E33xing | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan74¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | −$470 −36% | — |
| 153d | sts223 fills | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan73¢ → 100¢ | $6,090 | +$2,205 +36% | 13 |
| 153d | Black-Bondsman | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan80¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$374 +25% | 11 |
| 153d |  Kh4mz4t | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellTuco Tokkos35¢ → 0¢ | $1,095 | +$1,095 +100% | — |
| 153d | Sassy-Bucket | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan60¢ → 100¢ | $67,326 | +$44,884 +67% | 14 |
| 153d | arlanta3 fills | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyTuco Tokkos41¢ → 0¢ | $15,687 | −$15,687 −100% | 14 |
| 153d | lpcapital1 | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan59¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$934 +69% | 14 |
| 153d |  elmcap2 | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | SellIvan Erslan59¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$820 −69% | — |
| 154d | Portly-Derivation | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyTuco Tokkos39¢ → 0¢ | $3,450 | −$3,450 −100% | 12 |
| 154d | elmcap22 fills | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan62¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$1,520 +61% | 9 |
| 154d | pilotlady | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan61¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$821 +64% | 9 |
| 154d | 05143 | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan60¢ → 100¢ | $16,621 | +$11,194 +67% | 9 |
| 154d | timezonewarrior | Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan | BuyIvan Erslan59¢ → 100¢ | $34,751 | +$24,149 +69% | 9 |
This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan means the market gives it about 0%.