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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | 0% | −43 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 100% | +28 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +23 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 100% | +32 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 100% | +30 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −31 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Morales to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −12 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −17 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | ElasticSoul | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | SellColby Thicknesse>99¢ | $1,739 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Slight-SpudNew account | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | SellColby Thicknesse>99¢ | $1,986 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | rodger | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | SellColby Thicknesse>99¢ | $1,063 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | aviato | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse>99¢ | $1,266 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d | amnesia12 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | SellColby Thicknesse99¢ → 100¢ | $1,972 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 168d |  Fiscus | Thicknesse to win by KO/TKO? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 168d | takeormake | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse98¢ → 100¢ | $7,171 | +$126 +1.8% | 4 |
| 168d |  mooseborzoi2 fills | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse44¢ → 100¢ | $4,985 | +$6,256 +126% | 12 |
| 168d |  obamason | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse50¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$2,500 +100% | 12 |
| 168d | bondfolio | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse67¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$520 +49% | 12 |
| 168d | benwyatt | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse65¢ → 100¢ | $16,969 | +$9,142 +54% | 12 |
| 168d | maxgreen | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales52¢ → 0¢ | $3,025 | −$3,025 −100% | 12 |
| 168d | leo0770 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales57¢ → 0¢ | $2,673 | −$2,673 −100% | 12 |
| 168d | amnesia12 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse66¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$663 +52% | 12 |
| 168d | 6yuyurrg | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | SellVince Morales31¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | +$1,012 +100% | — |
| 168d | Tragic-Cutover | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales43¢ → 0¢ | $4,812 | −$4,812 −100% | 18 |
| 168d |  TheOneto3 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse58¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$1,371 +72% | 12 |
| 168d | surfandturf | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse56¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$1,553 +79% | 12 |
| 168d |  berboche | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales45¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 12 |
| 168d | the5 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse56¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,357 +79% | 12 |
| 168d | 0xc33a…3da3 | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales44¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 12 |
| 169d | texaskid | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse57¢ → 100¢ | $25,659 | +$19,415 +76% | 9 |
| 169d | timezonewarrior | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyColby Thicknesse55¢ → 100¢ | $14,834 | +$12,166 +82% | 9 |
| 170d | Automatic-Estate | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales47¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 170d | brokemaxdegen | Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse | BuyVince Morales45¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 6 |
This market will resolve to "Vince Morales" if Vince Morales is officially declared the winner of the fight against Colby Thicknesse at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Colby Thicknesse" if Colby Thicknesse is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse means the market gives it about 0%.