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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | 100% | +37 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Amosov to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 100% | +69 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Álvarez to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −22 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% | −29 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −49 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160d | mrgoated | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,586 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | irpebrz | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,334 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | Popopilot | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,846 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | HowieRatner | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,795 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | kkookkoo | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $5,934 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | 42n | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,713 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  Alvves | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,289 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | Karbovanets | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $2,067 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | almet | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $2,460 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | SHAFKAT | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | surfandturf | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $10,010 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 160d | ElasticSoul | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellYaroslav Amosov>99¢ | $6,244 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 160d |  thebluegem | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov97¢ → 100¢ | $2,476 | +$85 +3.4% | 5 |
| 160d | TomSargent | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov87¢ → 100¢ | $2,621 | +$379 +14% | 8 |
| 160d | mishipolis | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 13 |
| 160d |  Cooked | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov72¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$560 +39% | 13 |
| 160d | kkookkoo | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov67¢ → 100¢ | $3,999 | +$1,941 +49% | 14 |
| 160d | kingdomofheaven | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | SellJoel Álvarez36¢ → 0¢ | $2,131 | +$2,131 +100% | — |
| 160d | brokemaxdegen | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $3,100 | −$3,100 −100% | 14 |
| 160d |  sunflowaa | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $25,086 | −$25,086 −100% | 14 |
| 160d | PCH99 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $1,955 | −$1,955 −100% | 14 |
| 160d | ElasticSoul | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$2,250 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | kingdomofheaven | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $4,381 | −$4,381 −100% | 14 |
| 160d | almet | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$886 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | Popopilot | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$665 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | vovatoxic | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,125 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | JigglyPuff | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$1,080 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | smd333 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$563 +56% | 14 |
| 160d |  Flipadelphia | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$1,080 +56% | 14 |
| 160d | prl3082 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $1,565 | −$1,565 −100% | 12 |
| 160d | Damp-Tooth | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez36¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | −$1,462 −100% | 12 |
| 160d | ididntmeanit | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$1,068 +54% | 12 |
| 160d | Obilic | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov63¢ → 100¢ | $3,686 | +$2,165 +59% | 12 |
| 160d | 0x86fb…03d4 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov63¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,937 +59% | 12 |
| 160d | 0x5d1d…afd2 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov63¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,937 +59% | 12 |
| 160d | LaBradfordSmith22 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov62¢ → 100¢ | $5,625 | +$3,448 +61% | 12 |
| 160d | christianox | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez38¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 12 |
| 161d |  spirit0 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov63¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$2,076 +59% | 12 |
| 161d | 0x59b5…d16e | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov63¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | +$760 +59% | 9 |
| 161d | Fearless-Spectacles | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $3,581 | −$3,581 −100% | 9 |
| 161d |  mooseborzoi | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyJoel Álvarez37¢ → 0¢ | $1,584 | −$1,584 −100% | 9 |
| 162d | 0xa4e1…e25a | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov64¢ → 100¢ | $2,907 | +$1,631 +56% | 9 |
| 163d | Droopy-Dispatch2 fills | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov65¢ → 100¢ | $4,627 | +$2,543 +55% | 6 |
| 164d | Yarik1 | Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez | BuyYaroslav Amosov65¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$546 +53% | 6 |
sunflowaa67,800 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yaroslav Amosov" if Yaroslav Amosov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez means the market gives it about 100%.