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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 46% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 45¢ · 46¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| $400M | 32% | — | — | 31¢ · 32¢ (1¢) | — | in 441d |
| $2B | 24% | +4 pts | +5 pts | 21¢ · 27¢ (6¢) | $350 | in 441d |
| $3B | 20% | +2 pts | +5 pts | 18¢ · 22¢ (4¢) | $169 | in 441d |
| $1B | 24% | −2 pts | +2 pts | 21¢ · 26¢ (5¢) | $137 | in 441d |
| $1.5B | 23% | −7 pts | +4 pts | 19¢ · 26¢ (7¢) | $90.7 | in 441d |
| $800M | 27% | −3 pts | +8 pts | 25¢ · 29¢ (4¢) | $70 | in 441d |
| $600M | 28% | — | +6 pts | 24¢ · 33¢ (9¢) | $23 | in 441d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d |  Dreamwalker | $200M | SellNo38¢ → 54¢ | $1,520 | −$660 −43% | — |
| 96d |  glueeater | $200M | SellNo29¢ → 54¢ | $1,997 | −$1,815 −91% | — |
| 134d | bejoxbt | $200M | SellYes60¢ → 46¢ | $1,669 | +$411 +25% | — |
| 184d | maxdawg | $200M | BuyYes53¢ → 46¢ | $1,060 | −$150 −14% | 2 |
| 185d | bejoxbt | $200M | BuyYes53¢ → 46¢ | $1,531 | −$217 −14% | 2 |
| 208d | universidadonline | $800M | BuyNo83¢ → 73¢ | $1,433 | −$173 −12% | 5 |
| 254d | maxdawg | $600M | BuyNo50¢ → 72¢ | $1,075 | +$462 +43% | 7 |
hopolopop771 shares
squiffs2,834 shares
altaironmission856 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for $200M means the market gives it about 46%.