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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan | 100% | +58 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania) | 0% | −30 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | −28 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | 0x9134…4fad | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,867 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Momo63 | Lithuania | SellNo>99¢ | $36,786 | −$37 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | HAGIII | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,837 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | horrocrux | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $2,409 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  MasaCapital | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $7,471 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | suntori | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $1,742 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Santosh001 | Azerbaijan | SellYes>99¢ | $5,106 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | d008 | Lithuania | SellNo>99¢ | $2,784 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | leohe | Lithuania | SellNo>99¢ | $1,599 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 13d |  MiLive | Azerbaijan | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,633 | +$37 +1.0% | 4 |
| 13d | jiafanpomarke001 | Lithuania | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,727 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 13d | betfairzices2 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,327 | +$124 +2.3% | 4 |
| 13d | 0x9134…4fad | Azerbaijan | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$47 +3.1% | 4 |
| 13d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$348 +16% | 4 |
| 13d | olpy2 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,341 | +$680 +29% | 4 |
| 13d | MasaCapital | Azerbaijan | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$244 +4.1% | 4 |
| 13d |  RN13 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $6,978 | +$1,042 +15% | 4 |
| 13d | Momo63 | Azerbaijan | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,924 | +$289 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | Santosh0012 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,632 | +$479 +10% | 4 |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Draw (Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania) | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,354 | +$986 +23% | 4 |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost6 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $8,892 | +$3,280 +37% | 4 |
| 13d | Momo63 | Lithuania | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$34 +2.5% | 4 |
| 13d | graziek992 fills | Lithuania | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,780 | +$136 +3.6% | 4 |
| 13d | Flaznorp | Draw (Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania) | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$365 +27% | 4 |
| 13d | Flaznorp | Azerbaijan | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,655 | +$676 +41% | 4 |
| 13d | horrocrux | Azerbaijan | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$712 +42% | 4 |
| 13d | tico1000 | Azerbaijan | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | −$648 −45% | — |
| 13d |  Allepolmart | Azerbaijan | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | tico1000 | Azerbaijan | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$784 +57% | 4 |
| 13d | pagliacci4 | Lithuania | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$268 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | leohe | Lithuania | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$144 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | d008 | Lithuania | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$109 +9.9% | 4 |
| 13d | forrestgumper | Azerbaijan | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | −$901 −56% | — |
| 13d | UpTheBlues | Lithuania | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$176 +12% | 4 |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost | Azerbaijan | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | Flaznorp2 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | −$2,450 −100% | 4 |
| 13d | CaptainColby | Azerbaijan | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,750 | −$2,750 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | lzh1 | Lithuania | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | useruserlol | Azerbaijan | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,001 | −$2,001 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Zzzz87 | Lithuania | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,721 | −$2,721 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | suntori | Lithuania | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,905 | −$1,905 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Bloodygoodrep1 | Lithuania | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $3,902 | −$3,902 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Bloodygoodrep12 fills | Azerbaijan | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $11,257 | −$11,257 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Fatih1452 | Azerbaijan | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $3,005 | −$3,005 −100% | 14 |
Allepolmart2,823 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Azerbaijan and Lithuania.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Azerbaijan means the market gives it about 100%.