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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | 100% | +9 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Belarus vs. San Marino) | 0% | −7 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | wotaktwot | Belarus | SellYes>99¢ | $11,795 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 13d |  kissben2119 | San Marino | SellNo>99¢ | $1,195 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Maximumusil | San Marino | SellNo>99¢ | $3,145 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0x3f26…f298 | San Marino | SellNo>99¢ | $3,357 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | FC925 | Belarus | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Substantial-Service | Belarus | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,144 | +$52 +1.0% | 4 |
| 13d | suntori | Belarus | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,705 | −$68 −1.0% | — |
| 14d | Dirty-Burn | Belarus | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$161 +8.8% | 4 |
| 14d | horrocrux | Draw (Belarus vs. San Marino) | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 14d | Parallel-Trader | Belarus | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$200 +8.7% | 7 |
| 14d | Zzzz87 | Belarus | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $25,507 | +$2,218 +8.7% | 7 |
| 14d | omnibus-076daa | Belarus | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,114 | +$209 +9.9% | 7 |
| 14d | kissben2119 | San Marino | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$25 +2.1% | 5 |
| 14d | Maximumusil | San Marino | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$68 +2.2% | 5 |
| 14d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | San Marino | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,306 | +$112 +2.6% | 5 |
| 14d | GoalLineGhost | Draw (Belarus vs. San Marino) | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,591 | +$195 +7.5% | 6 |
| 14d | GoalLineGhost | Belarus | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$237 +9.9% | 7 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues2 fills | San Marino | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,254 | +$66 +2.0% | 5 |
| 14d | suntori2 fills | Belarus | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,694 | +$321 +8.7% | 6 |
| 14d |  mooseborzoi | Belarus | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$99 +9.9% | 6 |
| 14d | wotaktwot | Belarus | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $10,800 | +$1,007 +9.3% | 6 |
| 15d | dfdffdfdfd | Belarus | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$111 −11% | — |
| 15d |  Alek9777 | Belarus | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$100 +9.9% | 6 |
us39113,212 shares
no1dodgersfan8,002 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Belarus and San Marino.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Belarus means the market gives it about 100%.