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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 100% | +68 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Estonia vs. Luxembourg) | 0% | −31 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −37 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d |  MasaCapital | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $7,389 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | horrocrux | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | Santosh001 | Estonia | SellYes>99¢ | $2,633 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 0xf584…3979 | Estonia | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | +$27 +2.0% | 4 |
| 13d |  abellll2 fills | Estonia | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,659 | +$64 +2.4% | 4 |
| 13d | shahlolzz | Estonia | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | −$149 −7.7% | — |
| 13d | MasaCapital | Estonia | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$352 +5.6% | 4 |
| 13d | Santosh001 | Estonia | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$125 +6.3% | 4 |
| 13d | shahlolzz | Estonia | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$583 +39% | 4 |
| 14d | horrocrux | Estonia | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$881 +59% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues | Luxembourg | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$539 +47% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues | Estonia | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,649 | −$2,649 −100% | 14 |
| 14d | CaptainColby | Luxembourg | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$2,050 +46% | 14 |
| 14d | Zzzz87 | Estonia | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $3,272 | +$6,076 +186% | 14 |
| 14d | suntori | Draw (Estonia vs. Luxembourg) | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $1,905 | −$1,905 −100% | 14 |
| 14d | Flaznorp | Estonia | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$2,378 +212% | 14 |
us3915,636 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026 between Estonia and Luxembourg.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Estonia means the market gives it about 100%.