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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | 100% | +75 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | −23 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −52 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Punctual-Motor | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | sinestia | Greece | SellNo>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | rugmoney | Germany | SellNo>99¢ | $1,146 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Flaznorp2 fills | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$321 +11% | 4 |
| 12d | Flaznorp2 fills | Germany | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,878 | +$2,102 +73% | 4 |
| 12d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Greece | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,820 | +$1,624 +24% | 10 |
| 12d | NX-Trading3 fills | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,769 | +$1,726 +46% | 4 |
| 12d | Hoch2 fills | Greece | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$407 +8.1% | 4 |
| 12d | Substantial-Service2 fills | Germany | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $4,140 | +$4,398 +106% | 4 |
| 12d | GoalLineGhost | Germany | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$557 +49% | 4 |
| 12d | 0xb20b…6507 | Germany | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,418 | +$2,418 +100% | — |
| 12d | BBQChickenisthebesttt | Germany | SellNo46¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | −$2,700 −117% | — |
| 12d | dfdffdfdfd | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | Guccibala | Greece | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$307 +20% | 4 |
| 12d | Fortunate-Plagiarism | Germany | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Greece | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $6,705 | +$1,909 +28% | 11 |
| 12d | sport-intelligence | Germany | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | 0xb20b…6507 | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $3,991 | −$3,991 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Germany | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $15,690 | +$18,117 +115% | 12 |
| 12d | Poeloep2 fills | Germany | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | Flaznorp | Germany | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,895 | −$1,895 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | tes21sa | Germany | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,980 | −$1,980 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | Germany | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $23,205 | −$23,205 −100% | 14 | |
| 12d | Germany | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $3,047 | −$3,047 −100% | 14 | |
| 12d | Zzzz87 | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $4,170 | −$4,170 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | 1l2ihj34li12u342 fills | Germany | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $40,000 | +$45,106 +113% | 14 |
| 12d | hgawx | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,349 | −$1,349 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | neutralwave23 | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,392 | −$1,392 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | zywoo2026 | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | 0xc3ed…9f79 | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,058 | −$1,058 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $3,210 | −$3,210 −100% | 12 | |
| 12d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $3,622 | −$3,622 −100% | 12 |
| 12d | Substantial-Service3 fills | Germany | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $41,007 | −$41,007 −100% | 12 |
| 12d | Kalahanda | Germany | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,953 | −$1,953 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | lfg100k2 fills | Germany | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $9,649 | −$9,649 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | nb1985 | Germany | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $7,215 | +$7,215 +100% | 14 |
| 12d | sinestia | Greece | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,292 | +$408 +32% | 12 |
| 12d | danielhansen12 fills | Germany | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $72,958 | +$81,016 +111% | 14 |
| 12d | suntori | Greece | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$329 +30% | 12 |
| 12d | rabbitfoot1 | Greece | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,913 | −$3,913 −100% | 14 |
| 12d | shaw | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $3,240 | −$3,240 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Sociable-Manager | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | 1xx3 | Draw (Greece vs. Germany) | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $3,233 | +$9,698 +300% | 14 |
| 13d | sbimbg | Greece | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$669 +28% | 11 |
| 13d | Aralace | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Wise-Phenotype | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | −$2,650 −100% | 14 |
| 13d | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 | |
| 13d | Stable-Armament | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $11,000 | −$11,000 −100% | 12 |
| 13d | mooseborzoii4 fills | Germany | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $22,851 | +$26,825 +117% | 12 |
| 13d | GoalLineGhost | Germany | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 12 |
| 13d | btmx6 | Germany | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $56,333 | +$63,524 +113% | 12 |
| 13d | RJW1 | Germany | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $6,789 | −$6,789 −100% | 12 |
| 13d | afraz | Germany | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,502 | −$2,502 −100% | 12 |
| 13d | Tys0n8686 | Germany | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | −$2,241 −113% | — |
| 15d | papandopulo | Germany | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | −$1,530 −100% | 9 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Greece and Germany.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw (Greece vs. Germany) means the market gives it about 100%.