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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 100% | +80 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kazakhstan | 0% | −52 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Kazakhstan vs. Moldova) | 0% | −27 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | morkolen | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d |  Mr.Ape | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $5,477 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Santosh001 | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $1,878 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | hanlun | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $1,990 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Nccn | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $3,274 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | lungtuu | Moldova | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Fuuk | Moldova | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,858 | −$19 −1.0% | — |
| 15d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Kazakhstan vs. Moldova) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$23 +2.0% | 4 |
| 15d |  ZaiZoiBele | Moldova | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 15d | gaclfz | Kazakhstan | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,187 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 15d | xxyx0xx | Moldova | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,686 | −$108 −6.4% | — |
| 15d | xxyx0xx | Moldova | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$160 +6.4% | 4 |
| 15d | SharkVision2 fills | Moldova | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $2,326 | +$754 +32% | 4 |
| 15d | morkolen | Moldova | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$81 +7.9% | 4 |
| 15d | Mr.Ape | Moldova | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$1,919 +54% | 4 |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost4 fills | Moldova | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $7,715 | +$2,114 +27% | 4 |
| 15d | shyu5000 | Kazakhstan | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$67 +3.4% | 4 |
| 15d | 0xf584…3979 | Moldova | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,458 | +$278 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | hanlun | Moldova | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$286 +17% | 4 |
| 15d | Santosh001 | Moldova | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$280 +18% | 4 |
| 15d | Fortunate-Plagiarism | Moldova | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$584 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp | Kazakhstan | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$61 +4.2% | 4 |
| 15d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Moldova | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $6,543 | +$5,574 +85% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp2 fills | Moldova | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $7,500 | +$6,389 +85% | 4 |
| 15d | SparYel | Kazakhstan | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | useruserlol | Kazakhstan | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 4 |
| 15d | ff3364 | Kazakhstan | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,530 | −$1,530 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | UpTheBlues | Moldova | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $5,052 | −$5,052 −100% | 11 |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Moldova | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $4,264 | −$4,264 −100% | 11 |
| 15d | zhuz632 | Kazakhstan | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,552 | −$1,552 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Moldova | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $6,514 | −$6,514 −100% | 11 |
| 15d | neutralwave23 | Kazakhstan | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $4,742 | −$4,742 −100% | 14 |
| 15d |  12monkeys | Kazakhstan | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | Cold-Beech-Ability | Kazakhstan | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,133 | −$1,133 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | fhfdj5414592 fills | Kazakhstan | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 14 |
| 15d | np9999 | Kazakhstan | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 14 |
| 15d | Impressive-Mangle | Kazakhstan | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,670 | −$1,670 −100% | 12 |
| 15d | Fatih1452 | Kazakhstan | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$1,117 +104% | 12 |
Allepolmart1,967 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Kazakhstan and Moldova.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Moldova means the market gives it about 100%.