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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montenegro | 100% | +45 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | −19 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Latvia vs. Montenegro) | 0% | −26 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  Passionate-Minorleague | Montenegro | SellYes>99¢ | $3,892 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | 0xc3ed…9f79 | Montenegro | SellYes>99¢ | $2,979 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 14d |  Caishengod | Montenegro | SellYes>99¢ | $2,499 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | fo8rro76d | Montenegro | SellYes>99¢ | $6,761 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | waierma | Montenegro | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$76 +6.3% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Montenegro | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | +$331 +12% | 4 |
| 14d | Educated-Shoat | Latvia | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,095 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 14d | Flaznorp4 fills | Latvia | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,383 | +$50 +0.2% | 4 |
| 14d | fo8rro76d2 fills | Montenegro | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,767 | +$104 +1.8% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Latvia | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,645 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 14d | UpTheBlues | Draw (Latvia vs. Montenegro) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$63 +3.6% | 4 |
| 14d | Maximus1391 | Montenegro | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | −$90 −5.3% | — |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost | Latvia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$83 +5.3% | 4 |
| 15d | Momo635 fills | Latvia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $33,875 | +$1,656 +4.9% | 4 |
| 15d | Hearty-Heating-DisregardNew account | Montenegro | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$341 −28% | — |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost | Montenegro | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$349 +28% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp6 fills | Montenegro | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,675 | +$2,958 +28% | 4 |
| 15d | 0xad69…92fd | Montenegro | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,855 | −$853 −30% | — |
| 15d | Passionate-Minorleague | Montenegro | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$717 +24% | 4 |
| 15d | Clawbangers | Latvia | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$99 +5.3% | 4 |
| 15d | Yawning-Chicken | Montenegro | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,597 | +$399 +25% | 4 |
| 15d |  12monkeys | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$1,075 +75% | 14 |
| 15d | Parallel-Trader | Latvia | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,490 | +$510 +20% | 10 |
| 15d |  NO.9kami | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,263 +75% | 14 |
| 15d | Zzzz872 fills | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,134 | +$2,365 +75% | 14 |
| 15d | sport-intelligence | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$3,772 +75% | 14 |
| 15d |  mooseborzoi | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$1,112 +75% | 14 |
| 15d | 0xc3ed…9f79 | Montenegro | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$1,282 +75% | 14 |
| 15d | neutralwave23 | Latvia | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$289 +20% | 10 |
| 15d | aa775885 | Montenegro | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 14 |
| 15d |  ComingBack | Montenegro | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$786 +79% | 14 |
| 15d | Maximus1391 | Montenegro | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$788 +79% | 14 |
| 15d |  nigiri99 | Montenegro | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$830 +82% | 12 |
| 15d | dv-pm | Draw (Latvia vs. Montenegro) | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $2,634 | −$2,634 −100% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, October 2, 2026 between Latvia and Montenegro.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Montenegro means the market gives it about 100%.
