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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 100% | +73 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | −43 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria) | 0% | −29 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | Weepy-Swordfish | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $8,723 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | austr | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $12,630 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | Flaznorp | Bulgaria | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | +$50 +3.1% | 4 |
| 10d | Nd2 | Bulgaria | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$67 −4.2% | — |
| 10d | ehmK | Bulgaria | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$90 +6.4% | 4 |
| 10d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Bulgaria | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,583 | +$528 +12% | 4 |
| 10d | Nd2 | Bulgaria | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$171 +11% | 4 |
| 10d | austr | Bulgaria | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | +$182 +11% | 4 |
| 10d | Weepy-Swordfish2 fills | Bulgaria | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,999 | +$6,998 +233% | 14 |
| 10d |  ComingBack | Luxembourg | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$667 +67% | 14 |
| 11d | gransaaa4 fills | Luxembourg | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $24,079 | +$17,954 +75% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Luxembourg and Bulgaria.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bulgaria means the market gives it about 100%.