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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 3.5 | 0% | −17 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria (-4.5) | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% | +36 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bulgaria (-3.5) | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% | −43 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria (-2.5) | 0% | −2 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 1.5 | 100% | +77 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bulgaria (-1.5) | 100% | +91 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 3.5 | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-1.5) | 0% | −19 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −7 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 2.5 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 6.5 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 1.5 | 0% | −36 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | +75 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +37 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% | +11 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 3.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 2.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% | +68 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-2.5) | 0% | −6 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 5.5 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 0.5 | 0% | −73 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% | −14 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 4.5 | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria O/U 0.5 | 100% | +39 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 5.5 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-5.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 7.5 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg O/U 4.5 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −71 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1st Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −14 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −18 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −24 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −35 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-3.5) | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg (-4.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria (-5.5) | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −43 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% | +81 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 3.5 | 0% | −47 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2nd Half O/U 4.5 | 0% | −45 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −52 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −16 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −12 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% | −40 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bulgaria 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% | −9 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | 0xNuttawut | O/U 3.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $6,712 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | UpTheBlues | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder84¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$220 +19% | 4 |
| 10d | 0x8191…da724 fills | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder69¢ → 100¢ | $6,723 | +$2,956 +44% | 4 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues2 fills | O/U 4.5 | BuyUnder94¢ → 100¢ | $2,546 | +$154 +6.0% | 6 |
| 10d | 0xNuttawut2 fills | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder57¢ → 100¢ | $3,850 | +$2,857 +74% | 4 |
| 10d | Flaznorp2 fills | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder65¢ → 100¢ | $2,279 | +$1,254 +55% | 14 |
| 10d | 0x8191…da72 | 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder93¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$105 +7.9% | 4 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues2 fills | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder50¢ → 100¢ | $5,312 | +$5,312 +100% | 4 |
| 10d | chongchong37 | O/U 3.5 | BuyOver50¢ → 0¢ | $1,542 | −$1,542 −100% | 4 |
| 10d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 2.5 | BuyOver35¢ → 0¢ | $1,393 | −$1,393 −100% | 14 |
| 10d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 1.5 | BuyUnder38¢ → 0¢ | $2,006 | −$2,006 −100% | 14 |
| 10d | Takon88 | O/U 1.5 | BuyOver61¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$780 +64% | 14 |
| 10d |  ComingBack | O/U 1.5 | BuyUnder40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 11d | GoalLineGhost | O/U 4.5 | BuyUnder94¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | +$139 +6.4% | 6 |
| 11d | GoalLineGhost | O/U 3.5 | BuyUnder83¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | +$371 +20% | 10 |
| 11d | ferrariChampions2026 | O/U 2.5 | BuyUnder64¢ → 100¢ | $6,203 | +$3,489 +56% | 14 |
| 11d | Flaznorp | Luxembourg (-1.5) | BuyBulgaria81¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | +$268 +23% | 9 |
| 11d | Flaznorp6 fills | Bulgaria (-4.5) | BuyLuxembourg>99¢ | $23,242 | +$63 +0.3% | 4 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Bulgaria (-2.5) | BuyLuxembourg98¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$24 +2.2% | 5 |
| 11d | Flaznorp2 fills | Bulgaria (-3.5) | BuyLuxembourg99¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | +$18 +0.6% | 4 |
| 11d | UpTheBlues | Bulgaria (-3.5) | BuyLuxembourg99¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$11 +0.9% | 4 |
Muneer70 sharesMore markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for O/U 3.5 means the market gives it about 0%.