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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 100% | +18 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | 0% | −13 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wales | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | 750S | Portugal | SellYes>99¢ | $1,538 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | raihanhyder | Portugal | SellYes>99¢ | $5,087 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | meropi | Portugal | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,575 | +$68 +0.9% | 4 |
| 22d | raihanhyder | Portugal | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$92 +1.8% | 4 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Portugal | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,370 | +$633 +12% | 8 |
| 22d | milkywaybet3 fills | Wales | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,226 | +$104 +0.2% | 4 |
| 22d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Wales | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,593 | +$249 +1.6% | 4 |
| 22d | Flaznorp6 fills | Portugal | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $17,693 | +$1,761 +10.0% | 4 |
| 22d | Famous-Perception-DuplexerNew account | Portugal | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | −$243 −7.5% | — |
| 22d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Wales | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 4 |
| 22d | neutralwave23 | Portugal | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $11,369 | −$1,178 −10% | — |
| 22d | 0xb5a5…e3ca | Portugal | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,617 | +$124 +7.6% | 4 |
| 22d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Portugal | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $9,980 | +$1,050 +11% | 7 |
| 22d | kmak1 | Portugal | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$151 +6.0% | 4 |
| 22d | 0xf584…3979 | Portugal | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,338 | −$213 −6.4% | — |
| 22d |  LonnieHawkins2 fills | Portugal | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $13,389 | −$1,127 −8.4% | — |
| 22d | Momo63 | Portugal | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $14,959 | +$955 +6.4% | 4 |
| 22d | SHSVHVD3 | Portugal | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | −$53 −2.0% | — |
| 22d | LonnieHawkins2 fills | Portugal | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $12,908 | +$2,508 +19% | 4 |
| 22d | Fvalp | Portugal | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$139 +7.4% | 4 |
| 22d | Hoch | Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$153 +6.1% | 4 |
| 22d | Lordhegante | Wales | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,380 | +$64 +1.0% | 4 |
| 22d | 0x6548355541158556441 | Portugal | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$174 +7.5% | 4 |
| 22d |  thiagopd | Portugal | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$85 +7.5% | 4 |
| 22d | Momo634 fills | Wales | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,434 | +$88 +1.0% | 4 |
| 22d | xxyx0xx | Portugal | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,383 | +$207 +8.7% | 4 |
| 22d | choupibudou | Portugal | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $5,617 | −$556 −9.9% | — |
| 22d | Magnabelli | Portugal | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,659 | +$803 +22% | 4 |
| 22d | 177-letsgo | Wales | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,402 | +$284 +5.3% | 4 |
| 22d | 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27A | Portugal | BuyNo16¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | SHSVHVD3 | Portugal | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | +$368 +16% | 4 |
| 22d |  mooseborzoi | Portugal | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $9,448 | +$1,538 +16% | 9 |
| 22d | Famous-Perception-DuplexerNew account | Portugal | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$488 +16% | 9 |
| 22d | neutralwave234 fills | Portugal | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $8,954 | +$1,561 +17% | 9 |
| 22d | Zzzz87 | Portugal | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | +$264 +18% | 9 |
| 22d | 0x0f34…7684 | Portugal | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | +$290 +18% | 9 |
| 22d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Portugal | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$319 +16% | 9 |
| 23d |  Passionate-Minorleague | Portugal | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$500 +17% | 9 |
| 23d | jhgbedlj2346 | Wales | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,859 | +$411 +4.2% | 5 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues6 fills | Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $14,940 | +$1,908 +13% | 7 |
| 23d | GoalLineGhost | Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$295 +12% | 8 |
| 23d | mooseborzoi | Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$146 +12% | 8 |
| 23d |  nigiri99 | Wales | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $20,292 | +$845 +4.2% | 5 |
| 23d | nigiri99 | Wales | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,214 | −$1,214 −100% | 14 |
| 23d | x55x | Portugal | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $8,077 | −$8,077 −100% | 14 |
| 23d | N3D12 fills | Portugal | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,282 | +$652 +20% | 8 |
| 23d | piriquito | Wales | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | +$134 +4.2% | 5 |
| 23d | 0x755a…82c4 | Portugal | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 9 |
| 23d | sugar-super | Portugal | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 9 |
| 23d | zhqzhq | Wales | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $60,000 | +$2,500 +4.2% | 5 |
| 23d | nigiri99 | Portugal | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | +$257 +22% | 9 |
| 23d | Flaznorp | Draw (Portugal vs. Wales) | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$257 +15% | 7 |
| 23d | maxoveral00 | Wales | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,922 | −$123 −6.4% | — |
| 24d | choupibudou | Portugal | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,173 +23% | 7 |
| 25d | Tebow305 | Wales | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 5 |
StudyPrediction5,000 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Portugal and Wales.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Portugal means the market gives it about 100%.