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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 100% | +54 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Sweden vs. Poland) | 0% | −26 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −28 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Soedirman | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,541 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | xabidaking | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $10,086 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | FC925 | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,766 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | 0x90de…2965 | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $2,915 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | SmallFishGambler | Sweden | SellYes>99¢ | $1,944 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | 4everyoung | Sweden | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,395 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18d | Defenseless-Money | Sweden | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 18d | Flaznorp14 fills | Sweden | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $25,691 | +$23,120 +90% | 12 |
| 18d | Defenseless-Money | Sweden | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$43 +3.6% | 4 |
| 18d | 0xbf2342fds234423d | Sweden | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$53 −5.3% | — |
| 18d |  LonnieHawkins | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,109 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 18d | 4everyoung | Poland | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,012 | +$38 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | Linkdad | Sweden | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,216 | +$117 +5.3% | 4 |
| 18d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Sweden | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,592 | +$1,031 +29% | 4 |
| 18d |  21Shoom | Sweden | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,392 | −$100 −7.2% | — |
| 18d | UpTheBlues8 fills | Sweden | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $19,644 | +$19,403 +99% | 12 |
| 18d | 0xf584…3979 | Sweden | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$134 +8.7% | 4 |
| 18d | 0xbcba…c950 | Sweden | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$210 +17% | 4 |
| 18d | LonnieHawkins | Poland | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$28 +2.5% | 4 |
| 18d | afraz | Sweden | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $5,038 | −$2,058 −41% | — |
| 18d | Flaznorp5 fills | Sweden | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $8,408 | −$8,408 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | afraz2 fills | Sweden | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,061 | +$4,044 +132% | 14 |
| 18d | xabidaking2 fills | Sweden | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $4,365 | +$5,731 +131% | 14 |
| 18d | Flaznorp4 fills | Poland | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $6,024 | +$2,412 +40% | 14 |
| 18d | Gambol-Riggins | Poland | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,749 | −$1,749 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | gollaza | Poland | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Costly-Compass-Monitor | Sweden | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | −$826 −61% | — |
| 18d | Illustrious-Jewelry | Sweden | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $6,587 | +$3,413 +52% | 4 |
| 18d | Admired-Packet | Sweden | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$706 +47% | 4 |
| 18d | Hoch | Poland | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$618 +12% | 4 |
| 18d | LonnieHawkins | Sweden | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $3,175 | −$1,636 −52% | — |
| 18d | LonnieHawkins | Sweden | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,875 | +$1,909 +49% | 4 |
| 18d | GrizzliesSuck | Sweden | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,758 | −$1,758 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Gambol-Riggins | Sweden | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$654 +49% | 4 |
| 18d | Lorolorota09 | Sweden | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | −$1,262 −52% | — |
| 18d | Lorolorota09 | Sweden | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$1,967 +113% | 4 |
| 18d | Maweiquan | Poland | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$389 +39% | 4 |
| 18d | Challenger.777 | Sweden | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,467 +117% | 4 |
| 18d | CaptainColby | Poland | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 14 |
| 18d |  tiger105 | Sweden | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,522 +117% | 14 |
| 18d | Zzzz872 fills | Sweden | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $7,032 | +$8,256 +117% | 14 |
| 18d | sport-intelligence | Sweden | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,870 +117% | 14 |
| 18d | Siddhartha12 fills | Sweden | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $9,310 | −$9,310 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | omnibus-076daa | Sweden | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $6,254 | −$6,254 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Sweden | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $16,046 | −$16,046 −100% | 12 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues | Poland | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $2,463 | −$2,463 −100% | 14 |
| 18d |  RN12 fills | Sweden | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $2,309 | −$2,309 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | testyeagles | Sweden | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $2,041 | −$2,041 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | 0x90de…2965 | Sweden | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$1,488 +104% | 14 |
| 18d | Adept-Oleo | Sweden | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,041 +104% | 14 |
| 18d | bludd | Poland | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | thanhtam86 | Poland | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$438 +33% | 12 |
| 18d | 1l2ihj34li12u342 fills | Sweden | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$20,816 +104% | 14 |
| 18d | suntori | Poland | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$394 +33% | 12 |
| 18d | neutralwave23 | Poland | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$444 +32% | 12 |
| 18d | Betscap | Sweden | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | +$2,025 +104% | 14 |
| 18d | omnibus-076daa | Sweden | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $16,225 | +$17,577 +108% | 14 |
| 18d | ppku62984 fills | Sweden | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $12,237 | +$13,531 +111% | 12 |
| 18d |  Elenes4 fills | Sweden | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $53,744 | −$53,744 −100% | 14 |
| 18d | ppku6298 | Sweden | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $2,450 | +$2,450 +100% | — |
Elenes103,388 sharesThis event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Sweden and Poland.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Sweden means the market gives it about 100%.