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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales | 100% | +86 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Wales vs. Norway) | 0% | −19 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −67 pts | −60 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Far-Pocketwatch | Wales | SellYes>99¢ | $15,104 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | bogemika | Norway | SellNo>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | dfdffdfdfd | Wales | SellYes>99¢ | $2,705 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | hfgdzb | Norway | SellNo>99¢ | $1,425 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | friedchickie | Norway | SellNo>99¢ | $5,429 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Bdbc09 | Wales | SellYes>99¢ | $1,236 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | PSGS | Wales | SellYes>99¢ | $6,796 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | 0x4444…aa0a | Draw (Wales vs. Norway) | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,381 | −$1,381 −100% | 4 |
| 15d |  0010001000001100 | Wales | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 15d | PSGS4 fills | Wales | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$61 +1.0% | 4 |
| 15d | Rotating-Snuggle | Wales | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$114 −7.5% | — |
| 15d |  36483934890475 fills | Wales | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $16,990 | +$1,350 +7.9% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp | Draw (Wales vs. Norway) | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | +$164 +12% | 4 |
| 15d | yenLord4 fills | Norway | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,110 | +$49 +0.5% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp20 fills | Norway | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $56,049 | +$52,097 +93% | 9 |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost | Wales | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$341 +19% | 4 |
| 15d | pagliacci4 | Wales | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$380 +18% | 4 |
| 15d | UpTheBlues12 fills | Norway | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $33,014 | +$36,181 +110% | 12 |
| 15d | Estiquelapise | Wales | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$317 −30% | — |
| 15d | Rotating-Snuggle | Wales | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$342 +27% | 4 |
| 15d | Fortunate-Plagiarism | Wales | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,053 +30% | 4 |
| 15d | BillyGating9 fills | Wales | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $34,408 | +$13,238 +38% | 4 |
| 15d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Norway | BuyNo46¢ → 100¢ | $6,584 | +$7,757 +118% | 4 |
| 15d |  RN12 fills | Wales | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $3,974 | −$3,974 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | UpTheBlues7 fills | Wales | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $17,368 | −$17,368 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | Flaznorp4 fills | Wales | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $19,490 | −$19,490 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | Hoch | Norway | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$435 +8.7% | 4 |
| 15d | dfdffdfdfd | Wales | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$758 +39% | 4 |
| 15d | Hoch | Wales | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,065 | +$3,065 +100% | — |
| 15d | roberto73 | Norway | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,661 | +$1,661 +100% | — |
| 15d | roberto73 | Wales | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $5,040 | +$5,040 +100% | — |
| 15d | lfg100k | Wales | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,430 +41% | 4 |
| 15d | Substantial-Service | Wales | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $96,093 | −$96,093 −100% | 4 |
| 15d |  IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllll | Wales | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,204 | −$900 −41% | — |
| 15d | xhdwnubfzefvbkefjweof2h5z1tzh211t316ttj1h | Norway | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 4 |
| 15d | ForMyFamily1 | Norway | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$870 +8.7% | 4 |
| 15d | Larics | Norway | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,547 | +$1,547 +100% | — |
| 15d | RN12 fills | Wales | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$2,390 +43% | 4 |
| 15d | 0xf584…39793 fills | Norway | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $11,601 | +$5,816 +50% | 4 |
| 15d | friedchickie | Norway | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$435 +8.7% | 4 |
| 15d | FelipeNauann | Norway | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | −$124 −9.9% | — |
| 15d |  Teletha2 fills | Norway | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,176 | +$529 +13% | 4 |
| 15d | Joaolopes1984 | Norway | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$100 +9.9% | 4 |
| 15d |  mdepay14 fills | Wales | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $7,956 | +$4,353 +55% | 4 |
| 15d | SharkVision2 fills | Norway | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $12,018 | +$1,950 +16% | 4 |
| 15d | gaclfz | Norway | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | +$289 +15% | 4 |
| 15d | 0xbcba…c950 | Wales | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$685 +58% | 4 |
| 15d | roberto73 | Wales | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,575 | −$1,575 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | spyGoodLuck77 | Wales | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$881 +59% | 4 |
| 15d | SEP10 | Norway | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | +$214 +18% | 4 |
| 15d | LSB1 | Wales | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 4 |
| 15d | RN1 | Norway | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,210 | +$1,070 +33% | 4 |
| 15d | 0010001000001100 | Norway | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,660 | −$1,660 −100% | — |
| 15d | suntori4 fills | Norway | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $20,166 | −$20,166 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | darkumbreon883 fills | Norway | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $13,601 | −$13,601 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | troonnnn | Norway | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $22,400 | −$22,400 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | neutralwave233 fills | Norway | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $5,362 | −$5,362 −100% | 14 |
| 15d | Unsteady-Quinoa | Norway | SellYes48¢ → 0¢ | $15,905 | +$15,905 +100% | — |
| 15d | Unsteady-Quinoa2 fills | Norway | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $14,040 | −$14,040 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | gollaza2 fills | Wales | SellYes19¢ → 100¢ | $3,277 | −$13,970 −426% | — |
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Wales and Norway.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Wales means the market gives it about 100%.