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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | +64 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wales | 0% | −15 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −49 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | ferrariChampions2026 | Norway | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $4,782 | −$4,782 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | Cold-Beech-Ability | Norway | SellYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,426 | +$1,426 +100% | — |
| 15d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | Wales | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,337 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 16d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing3 fills | Norway | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $6,058 | −$6,058 −100% | 14 |
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Norway, scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.