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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 663d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 664d | zeus76 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$54 +1.1% | 4 |
| 694d |  scottilicious2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,002 | +$179 +4.5% | 4 |
| 699d | yuv1410 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$73 −7.1% | — |
| 704d | denizz2 fills | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | +$204 +8.6% | 4 |
| 708d | denizz | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$104 −8.7% | — |
| 709d | yuv1410 | U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$97 +9.7% | 4 |
margincall312 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation is otherwise confirmed by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
