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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +36 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 482d |  BernardLHester | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | Gd80 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,208 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | rwo | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 482d | rwo | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d | foxtrot-iran | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,050 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 482d |  elmcap23 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,506 | +$26 +0.2% | 20 |
| 482d | Mahalex4 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 482d | Xgs | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  why1839 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,748 | −$49 −0.6% | — |
| 482d | jsjr | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,418 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 482d | QQQ9000 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 482d |  siick | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 482d | hindu | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,472 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  Debosnys | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,510 | +$66 +1.0% | 20 |
| 482d |  Funfzig2 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $27,466 | +$1,059 +3.9% | 20 |
| 482d | nostradamus-markets | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$33 +2.0% | 20 |
| 482d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C2910 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $24,730 | +$6,545 +26% | 20 |
| 482d | 6482f3 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,408 | −$4,592 −85% | — |
| 482d | Mahalex4 | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$631 +39% | 20 |
| 482d |  inoperante | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,859 | −$1,477 −52% | — |
| 482d | Rocketboy22 | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$411 +27% | 20 |
| 482d | 0xc0fa…0a56 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | −$464 −38% | — |
| 482d | No.One-128 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $5,329 | −$2,652 −50% | — |
| 482d |  FrancisSP88 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $16,729 | +$7,658 +46% | 20 |
| 482d | wfsdfsdg3 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $4,754 | −$4,754 −100% | 25 |
| 482d | Koha923 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $11,200 | −$11,200 −100% | 25 |
| 483d |  thepunisher | US military action against Iran before August? | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,438 | +$1,438 +100% | — |
| 483d | FrancisSP8 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $1,088 | +$1,088 +100% | — |
| 483d | lolo121 | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | +$1,034 +45% | 20 |
| 483d | Dim-Workhorse | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$737 +49% | 20 |
| 483d | Arrow1 | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,220 +49% | 20 |
| 483d | Jsullivan | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,426 | −$1,426 −100% | 21 |
| 483d | No.One-1283 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $4,983 | +$2,998 +60% | 20 |
| 483d | chevv | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$765 −67% | — |
| 483d | SaylorMoon | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,071 | −$1,071 −100% | 20 |
| 483d | ro0k3 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $14,258 | −$14,258 −100% | 26 |
| 483d | FlaSh | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $3,270 | −$2,004 −61% | — |
| 484d | TheBigYulanda | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$777 +61% | 20 |
| 484d | FrancisSP83 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $4,221 | −$4,221 −100% | 23 |
| 484d | FrancisSP82 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | −$1,272 −48% | — |
| 484d |  KnureKnume | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$759 −64% | — |
| 484d | test123testionia3 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$3,203 +58% | 20 |
| 484d | Ederen | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$644 +60% | 20 |
| 484d | Ederen | US military action against Iran before August? | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,070 | +$1,070 +100% | — |
| 484d | Ederen | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,149 | −$1,149 −100% | 20 |
| 484d | Funfzig3 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $8,357 | −$8,357 −100% | 20 |
| 484d | kasskass | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,513 | +$836 +55% | 20 |
| 484d | Lazy-ChronicleNew account | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | −$1,155 −65% | — |
| 484d |  Grinch1272 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | +$1,266 +55% | 20 |
| 484d | denizz | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,771 | −$1,771 −100% | 22 |
| 484d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$447 −41% | — |
| 485d | up1000x | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$338 +33% | 20 |
| 485d | up1000x | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$441 −43% | — |
| 485d | trolobit | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,095 | +$994 +32% | 20 |
| 485d | Gennedy | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$477 +35% | 20 |
| 485d | foxtrot-iran | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$334 +32% | 20 |
| 485d |  Malllory | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$977 +43% | 20 |
| 485d |  nothingevertranspires | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 20 |
| 485d | morrigan-3443 fills | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $9,891 | −$8,235 −83% | — |
| 485d | tonik75 | US military action against Iran before August? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | −$629 −42% | — |
nothingevertranspires7,756 shares
GayPride5,696 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 11, and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.