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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 0% | −39 pts | −28 pts | — · 12¢ | — | ended |
| Alexandra Eala | 0% | −13 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Pegula | 100% | +18 pts | +44 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Ann Li | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Venus Williams | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anastasia Potapova | 0% | −17 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Iga Swiatek | 0% | −78 pts | −38 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Marta Kostyuk | 0% | −45 pts | −26 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Elena Rybakina | 100% | +44 pts | +75 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 100% | +8 pts | +4 pts | 56¢ · 100¢ (44¢) | — | ended |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0% | −4 pts | +2 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Karolina Muchova | 0% | −29 pts | −8 pts | — · 47¢ | — | ended |
| Sorana Cirstea | 0% | −26 pts | −24 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Linda Noskova | 100% | +48 pts | +47 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0% | +19 pts | +9 pts | — · 88¢ | — | ended |
| Emma Navarro | 100% | +41 pts | +66 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Carol Young Suh Lee | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Sakkari | 0% | −4 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mirra Andreeva | 100% | +7 pts | +41 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Sofia Kenin | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · 46¢ | — | ended |
| Marie Bouzkova | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Diana Shnaider | 0% | −24 pts | −26 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0% | +4 pts | +3 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Elise Mertens | 0% | +1 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Sara Bejlek | 0% | +4 pts | — | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Madison Keys | 0% | −29 pts | −30 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Amanda Anisimova | 0% | −1 pts | +15 pts | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| Sloane Stephens | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · 50¢ | — | ended |
| Coco Gauff | 100% | +29 pts | +23 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0% | −25 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 0% | +17 pts | — | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belinda Bencic | 0% | +20 pts | +27 pts | — · 90¢ | — | ended |
| Reese Brantmeier | 0% | −2 pts | +21 pts | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| Elina Svitolina | 0% | −28 pts | −12 pts | — · 18¢ | — | ended |
| Iva Jovic | 0% | −20 pts | −39 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Thea Frodin | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 0% | −40 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Taylah Preston | 0% | −24 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leolia Jeanjean | 0% | +14 pts | −23 pts | 1¢ · 52¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | Naomi Osaka | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,475 | −$1,475 −100% | 4 | |
| 47d | Gaditima | Naomi Osaka | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$25 +1.4% | 4 |
| 47d | Gaditima5 fills | Naomi Osaka | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $9,529 | −$9,529 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Naomi Osaka means the market gives it about 0%.