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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | +1 pts | +27 pts | 86¢ · 100¢ (15¢) | — | ended |
| Sebastian Gorzny | 0% | +3 pts | +5 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev | 100% | +10 pts | +12 pts | 94¢ · 100¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −55 pts | −66 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Blockx | 100% | +42 pts | +40 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Jack Kennedy | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −59 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev | 100% | +20 pts | +39 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Patrick Kypson | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0% | −5 pts | −19 pts | — · 92¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Shelton | 100% | +14 pts | +22 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | −20 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | −14 pts | — | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | ended |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −76 pts | −80 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 100% | +75 pts | +61 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | −22 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Tiafoe | 100% | +37 pts | +38 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | −36 pts | −43 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Rafael Jodar | 0% | −69 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | −54 pts | −16 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% | −5 pts | +3 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 100% | +42 pts | +66 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0% | −35 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −6 pts | +8 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Paul | 100% | +37 pts | +59 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Zizou Bergs | 0% | −34 pts | −26 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −35 pts | −31 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Dane Sweeny | 0% | −22 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luciano Darderi | 100% | +13 pts | +66 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Learner Tien | 100% | +35 pts | +65 pts | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Darwin Blanch | 0% | +20 pts | +41 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Zheng | 0% | −59 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex de Minaur | 0% | −74 pts | −51 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Gael Monfils | 0% | −8 pts | −25 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| J.J. Wolf | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Juncheng Shang | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | 0% | +20 pts | +37 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Filip Misolic | 0% | +20 pts | +40 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Taberner | 0% | −3 pts | −26 pts | — · 48¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | chongchongpanda | Sebastian Gorzny | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$99 +3.9% | 4 |
bjprolo8 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 100%.