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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0% | −67 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev | 100% | +18 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Joao Fonseca | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Shelton | 100% | +26 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rafael Jodar | 0% | −16 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0% | −26 pts | −7 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Blockx | 0% | −8 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex de Minaur | 0% | −6 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Kennedy | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −30 pts | −13 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jakub Mensik | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | −6 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dane Sweeny | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −8 pts | −4 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Zizou Bergs | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −4 pts | +4 pts | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Gorzny | 0% | −23 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gael Monfils | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0% | −10 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Zheng | 0% | −4 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Learner Tien | 0% | −17 pts | −5 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Darwin Blanch | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Filip Misolic | 0% | 0 pts | +22 pts | — · 49¢ | — | ended |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | 0% | −24 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luciano Darderi | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| Patrick Kypson | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −5 pts | −1 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Juncheng Shang | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arthur Fils | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Carlos Taberner | 0% | −11 pts | −3 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| J.J. Wolf | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −6 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d |  yorkcasd | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 6 |
| 52d | chongchongpanda | Joao Fonseca | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,219 | +$125 +2.4% | 4 |
degenfoxgamblerr540 shares
gnarzie58 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 0%.