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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $300M | 100% | +2 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $500M | 100% | +17 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $1B | 100% | +96 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $150M | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $800M | 100% | +96 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $400M | 100% | +6 pts | +85 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $2B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $4B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $200M | 100% | +1 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $6B | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $3B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $250M | 100% | +2 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $650M | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178d |  berboche | $800M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,308 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | steevejobbs | $1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,200 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | mitazu | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | mitazu | $800M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,255 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | DonaldTrumpst | $150M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,373 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | mlinw | $1B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,086 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | liquidityp00l | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,419 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d |  TTokin | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d | Cactus-001 | $1B | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,571 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | roflingbets | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 178d | Cringe | $1B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 178d | Cactus-001 | $650M | SellYes>99¢ | $3,570 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 178d | mlinw | $800M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,444 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 178d | Cactus-001 | $800M | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,693 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $800M | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | xuejiao | $800M | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,821 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | DustZE | $1B | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 4 |
| 178d | Polygonooooor | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,482 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | Polygonooooor | $650M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,926 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | Polygonooooor | $800M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,504 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d | kiviro4 fills | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $47,294 | +$52 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $650M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,111 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d | jackdorthy | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | Abdoulay | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,703 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | thevisionaryman | $800M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,098 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 178d | 12QWAQA | $800M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 178d | BetterHold | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d | ExDeus | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,208 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 178d | SolFlip | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | shuangming1219 | $650M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,120 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d |  leleko2k | $800M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,433 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 178d | thevisionaryman | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $2,662 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 178d | cypherian | $1B | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$104 +8.3% | 2 |
| 178d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,073 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | 1881aa2 fills | $500M | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $5,448 | −$705 −13% | — |
| 178d | 1881aa3 fills | $800M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,508 | +$165 +3.0% | 2 |
| 178d | kiviro2 fills | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,940 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | mitazu | $500M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | −$13 −1.2% | — |
| 178d | Acclaimed-Manufacturer | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 178d | mlinw | $650M | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 178d | kiviro | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,400 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | AleshaPoppvich | $1B | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,871 | +$508 +27% | 2 |
| 178d |  icantbreathe | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,492 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 178d | Pog | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,958 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | Pog | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,347 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | BetterHold | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,857 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | BetterHold | $3B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | shuangming1219 | $2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$75 +1.4% | 2 |
| 178d | leleko2k | $1B | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,510 | +$428 +28% | 2 |
| 178d | Cactus-001 | $500M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,469 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 178d | Cactus-001 | $650M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 178d | Estwo2 fills | $150M | SellYes>99¢ | $11,928 | −$52 −0.4% | — |
| 178d | Rich-Try | $2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,877 | +$23 +1.2% | 2 |
| 178d | wejknrewkd | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,144 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 178d |  donjo2 fills | $400M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,921 | +$457 +6.6% | 2 |
| 178d | donjo | $300M | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,676 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | donjo | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,645 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 178d | cypherian | $800M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,998 | +$255 +6.4% | 2 |
| 178d |  mewmew1 | $2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 178d | hunt2049 | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,568 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $300M means the market gives it about 100%.