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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960d | professorx7 fills | US/Iran declare war before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,818 | +$43 +0.1% | 4 |
| 960d |  SesameCake2 fills | US/Iran declare war before March? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,530 | +$25 +0.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against the US by February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made from the US or Iran against the other by the specified date. Only the US and Iran themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if an Iranian militant group declared war against the US it will not count for this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.